The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tucson Roadrunners v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tucson Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 33.37%3.00fair odd
EV -6.57%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.47%33.15%33.37%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.752.8039.22%36.69%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 44.84%2.23fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.65%45.14%44.84%46.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.052.062.1551.81%48.71%48.54%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.79%4.59fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -0.947%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%21.71%21.79%23.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.834.084.004.4426.11%24.52%25.00%22.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tucson Roadrunners (Local): 33.37%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 44.84%; Draw: 21.79%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.44, with an expected value of -3.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.36%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -6.73%E -3.24%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.31%E -1.47%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 22:00
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.10%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.10%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.10%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:10
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.10%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.10%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.10%EV -6.57%E -2.35%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.33%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 14:10
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.06%EV -7.23%E -2.60%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.05%EV -8.52%E -4.18%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 14:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -8.23%E -2.99%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.07%E -3.94%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -8.23%E -2.99%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.27%EV -13.46%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 22:00
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.83%EV -9.57%E -3.53%K -5.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -3.59%E -1.67%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.26%EV -3.26%E -0.734%K -0.947%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 07:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -9.90%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.63%EV -9.42%E -4.66%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.67%E -2.60%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 22:00
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -9.90%E -3.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.65%EV -7.63%E -3.70%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -15.02%E -3.85%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-15 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -11.57%E -4.37%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.32%E -5.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.49%E -2.02%K -2.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 22:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.65%EV -13.24%E -5.09%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.19%EV -11.21%E -5.66%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -13.93%E -3.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.88%EV -14.91%E -5.85%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.53%EV -13.01%E -6.70%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.60%EV -12.84%E -3.21%K -4.28%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-15 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.48%EV -14.91%E -5.85%K -9.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.23%EV -13.46%E -6.97%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.29%EV -16.55%E -4.32%K -5.85%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-15 22:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-03-15 22:00
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%5.3%2026-03-15 18:20
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%7.2%2026-03-15 20:30
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-03-15 09:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-03-15 12:50
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%8.1%2026-03-15 14:09
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%8.1%2026-03-15 14:10
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%8.1%2026-03-15 14:10
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%8.3%2026-03-15 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%9.4%2026-03-15 13:10