语言:简体中文
Toronto Marlies v Cleveland Monsters
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Toronto Marlies (主队)
预测 44.80%2.23公平赔率
EV -1.45%
优势 -0.659%
Kelly -1.21%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.20
博彩公司预测分布
42.89%44.80%44.80%47.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.902.092.132.2052.63%47.93%46.84%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
Cleveland Monsters (客队)
预测 32.80%3.05公平赔率
EV -1.27%
优势 -0.422%
Kelly -0.632%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.01
博彩公司预测分布
31.10%32.80%32.80%34.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.762.753.0137.74%36.22%36.36%33.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.40%4.46公平赔率
EV -4.11%
优势 -0.960%
Kelly -1.25%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.28
博彩公司预测分布
21.41%22.40%22.40%23.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.804.024.004.2826.32%24.86%25.00%23.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Toronto Marlies (主队)：44.80%；Cleveland Monsters (客队)：32.80%；平局：22.40%。 对于“Cleveland Monsters (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.05。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.01，期望值为-1.27%，未产生正期望值。
有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (16 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.52%EV -1.45%E -0.659%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.36%EV -5.86%E -2.04%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 23.12%EV -7.24%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:18 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -2.79%E -1.29%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -5.93%E -2.82%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -13.08%E -4.94%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.62%E -3.24%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -6.52%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -5.90%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.17%E -3.99%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.03%EV -10.86%E -5.46%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.10%EV -1.27%E -0.422%K -0.632%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -4.11%E -0.960%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-20 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.02%EV -10.86%E -5.46%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.58%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.38%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-20 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.20%E -6.23%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -9.80%E -3.56%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -5.90%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.46%EV -12.65%E -6.49%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.72%EV -13.08%E -4.94%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.82%EV -14.86%E -3.91%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.24%EV -14.89%E -7.84%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.44%EV -13.08%E -4.94%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.33%EV -13.74%E -3.57%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52% | 5.4% | 2026-05-20 20:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30% | 7.5% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15% | 7.9% | 2026-05-20 20:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62% | 8.1% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 20:10 |