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Texas Stars v Manitoba Moose

2026-11-11 01:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Texas Stars (Local)

Prediction 33.80%2.96fair odd
EV -6.38%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%33.80%34.07%35.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.7741.67%38.54%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Manitoba Moose (Visit)

Prediction 43.90%2.28fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.97%43.90%43.46%44.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.092.082.2051.55%47.95%48.19%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.30%4.48fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.44%22.30%22.47%23.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.004.104.2328.17%24.99%24.39%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Texas Stars (Local): 33.80%; Manitoba Moose (Visit): 43.90%; Draw: 22.30%. For Manitoba Moose (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -3.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.18%EV -6.38%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.40%EV -9.13%E -4.41%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-09 21:10
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.19%EV -8.40%E -3.10%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.91%EV -7.38%E -3.50%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 21.90%EV -5.66%E -1.34%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-09 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.44%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-09 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -8.74%E -3.24%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-09 21:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.05%EV -10.43%E -3.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.39%EV -8.69%E -4.18%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.79%E -2.70%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-09 21:10
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-09 21:03
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-09 21:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-09 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -3.42%E -1.56%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-09 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -12.12%E -4.66%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -10.01%E -4.88%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -6.33%E -1.51%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-09 21:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.85%EV -15.50%E -6.20%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.31%EV -12.20%E -6.10%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.84%EV -20.82%E -5.87%K -8.17%G +0.000%18.2%2026-11-09 21:10
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -17.19%E -7.02%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.97%EV -9.13%E -4.41%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.57%EV -14.13%E -3.67%K -4.96%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-09 21:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.34%EV -17.19%E -7.02%K -11.86%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 42.92%EV -13.96%E -7.12%K -14.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.74%EV -17.48%E -4.72%K -6.47%G +0.000%18.9%2026-11-09 21:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.86%EV -18.88%E -7.87%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.12%EV -14.84%E -7.65%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.02%EV -15.25%E -4.01%K -5.45%G +0.000%19.5%2026-11-09 21:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-11-09 21:09
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%6.1%2026-11-09 21:09
Bally Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-11-09 21:05
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%7.5%2026-11-09 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%7.6%2026-11-09 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-11-09 17:49
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-11-09 17:49
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%8.6%2026-11-09 21:05
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%10.6%2026-11-09 21:10
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 43.33%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.67%13.1%2026-11-09 21:45

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