The School of Odds
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Syracuse Crunch v W-B/Scranton Penguins

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 42.15%2.37fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%42.46%42.15%43.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.202.2550.00%46.38%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 35.38%2.83fair odd
EV -5.90%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.45%35.15%35.38%36.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.602.6643.48%39.20%38.46%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.47%4.45fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%22.39%22.47%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.734.024.104.2026.81%24.87%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 42.15%; W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit): 35.38%; Draw: 22.47%. For Syracuse Crunch (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -5.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.90%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.44%EV -5.90%E -2.22%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.66%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 12:35
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.87%EV -6.00%E -2.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.88%EV -10.14%E -3.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.25%EV -11.92%E -3.04%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 06:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.26%EV -6.42%E -2.89%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.63%E -1.34%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 00:20
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 07:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 07:45
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 07:44
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 07:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 07:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.97%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-05 07:45
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -9.79%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 04:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.32%EV -9.79%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -11.25%E -2.85%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 00:05
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.71%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.56%E -4.62%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -10.12%E -2.53%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-05 07:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -11.48%E -5.47%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.56%E -4.62%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-05 00:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -11.48%E -5.47%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -11.56%E -4.62%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.87%EV -13.49%E -3.50%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-06 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.70%EV -13.58%E -6.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -8.02%E -3.08%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -7.88%E -1.92%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-05 21:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.72%EV -13.58%E -6.63%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.34%EV -14.39%E -5.95%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 22.93%EV -16.19%E -4.34%K -5.93%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-06 23:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.62%EV -15.69%E -7.85%K -15.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.19%EV -18.63%E -8.10%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.20%EV -15.74%E -4.20%K -5.72%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-05 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-03-06 23:45
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-03-06 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-03-05 21:24
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%6.5%2026-03-05 19:14
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-03-05 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-06 00:20
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-03-05 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-03-05 00:05
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-03-05 00:05
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%8.3%2026-03-06 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%8.8%2026-03-06 22:00