The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Syracuse Crunch v Rochester Americans

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 49.88%2.00fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.51%49.84%49.88%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.821.851.9058.82%55.02%54.20%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Americans (Visit)

Prediction 28.34%3.53fair odd
EV -6.78%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -2.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.01%28.34%28.34%28.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.253.2933.33%31.23%30.77%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV -4.16%
Edge -0.945%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.42%21.82%21.78%22.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.174.254.4025.97%23.97%23.53%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 49.88%; Rochester Americans (Visit): 28.34%; Draw: 21.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -4.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -5.22%E -2.75%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 20:59
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.02%EV -6.72%E -3.59%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.43%EV -6.78%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.55%EV -5.47%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 20:59
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 21:04
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 21:04
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 21:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.89%EV -7.72%E -4.17%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-01 21:04
Codere (IT)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.92%EV -8.22%E -4.47%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -12.87%E -3.22%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 21:05
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.33%EV -8.72%E -4.76%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -10.69%E -2.61%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-01 21:04
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.70%EV -10.21%E -5.67%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -7.91%E -2.43%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -6.34%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-01 21:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.51%EV -10.71%E -5.98%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.94%EV -14.99%E -5.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.55%EV -16.14%E -4.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-01 20:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.64%EV -11.71%E -6.61%K -15.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -9.33%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -8.52%E -2.03%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-01 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.05%EV -12.21%E -6.94%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -10.74%E -3.41%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.42%EV -4.16%E -0.945%K -1.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-01 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.24%EV -14.20%E -8.26%K -19.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -12.16%E -3.92%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.88%EV -13.96%E -3.53%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-01 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.84%EV -15.20%E -8.94%K -21.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -9.33%E -2.91%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.16%EV -15.05%E -3.86%K -5.19%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-01 21:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%5.3%2026-03-01 20:59
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-01 21:04
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%6.2%2026-03-01 21:03
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-01 21:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%7.6%2026-03-01 20:59
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-03-01 21:04
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.38%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%7.9%2026-03-01 21:05
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%8.2%2026-03-01 21:04
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%8.5%2026-03-01 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%9.2%2026-03-01 20:59
Kalshi◎1.09I 91.74%NM 58.56%1.54I 64.94%NM 41.44%56.7%2026-03-01 21:04