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Syracuse Crunch v Rochester Americans

Kickoff: 2026-04-08 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 45.10%2.22fair odd
EV -6.64%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -6.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.19%45.45%45.10%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.981.972.0752.63%50.55%50.76%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Americans (Visit)

Prediction 31.89%3.14fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.364%
Kelly -0.537%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.78%31.53%31.89%32.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.942.963.1037.74%34.04%33.73%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.01%4.35fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -0.860%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.32%23.03%23.01%23.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.933.954.1927.03%25.42%25.32%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 45.10%; Rochester Americans (Visit): 31.89%; Draw: 23.01%. For Rochester Americans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.49%EV -6.64%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.92%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.58%EV -4.06%E -0.975%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-07 04:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.07%EV -6.64%E -3.21%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.17%EV -7.51%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.68%E -1.38%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 23:05
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.30%EV -8.90%E -4.41%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.38%EV -4.96%E -1.66%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.32%EV -3.60%E -0.860%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-08 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 44.78%EV -9.35%E -4.65%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -10.70%E -3.82%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-07 07:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.29%E -4.47%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-07 07:19
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -9.80%E -4.90%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -9.10%E -3.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-08 23:00
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -10.70%E -5.41%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-07 07:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -11.15%E -5.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -11.15%E -5.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 07:20
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -11.15%E -5.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 07:20
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -11.15%E -5.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 07:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -11.15%E -5.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 07:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -11.15%E -5.66%K -11.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -1.13%E -0.364%K -0.537%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 07:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.60%EV -12.06%E -6.18%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.89%E -5.14%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-08 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.19%EV -12.06%E -6.18%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.52%EV -15.48%E -5.84%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.29%EV -14.88%E -4.02%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-08 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.76%EV -13.41%E -6.98%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.92%EV -4.32%E -1.44%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -11.43%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-07 07:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.71%EV -13.41%E -6.98%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.40%EV -15.48%E -5.84%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.89%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-08 23:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.19%EV -14.31%E -7.53%K -15.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -5.91%E -2.00%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -7.98%E -1.99%K -2.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-08 20:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%3.9%2026-04-08 22:55
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%5.1%2026-04-08 23:00
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%5.2%2026-04-08 20:39
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-04-07 07:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%7.6%2026-04-07 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-04-07 07:20
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%8.1%2026-04-07 07:20
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%8.5%2026-04-08 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%8.5%2026-04-07 07:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%9.0%2026-04-07 23:09