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Syracuse Crunch v Rochester Americans

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 19:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 39.40%2.54fair odd
EV +0.865%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.555%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.46%39.40%40.50%40.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.132.422.452.5646.95%41.26%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rochester Americans (Visit)

Prediction 36.39%2.75fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -3.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.00%36.39%35.24%39.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.362.382.6047.62%42.37%42.02%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.21%4.13fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%24.21%24.26%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.733.803.9328.57%26.81%26.32%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 39.40%; Rochester Americans (Visit): 36.39%; Draw: 24.21%. For Syracuse Crunch (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.865%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.85%EV +0.865%E +0.338%K +0.555%G +0.005%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -12.30%E -5.10%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.00%EV -4.86%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-27 19:45
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV +0.471%E +0.185%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -13.39%E -5.63%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.01%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV +0.471%E +0.185%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -13.39%E -5.63%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.01%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV +0.471%E +0.185%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -13.39%E -5.63%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.01%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV +0.471%E +0.185%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -13.39%E -5.63%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.01%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV +0.471%E +0.185%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -13.39%E -5.63%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.01%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV +0.471%E +0.185%K +0.304%G +0.001%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -13.39%E -5.63%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.01%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -1.50%E -0.599%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -13.39%E -5.63%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -8.01%E -2.11%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.79%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.85%EV -15.57%E -6.71%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -10.43%E -2.82%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-27 19:25
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -3.47%E -1.42%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -9.22%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-27 19:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -5.44%E -2.27%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.13%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -6.80%E -1.77%K -2.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.50%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -15.27%E -4.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-27 19:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.50%EV -7.41%E -3.15%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -19.94%E -9.06%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -15.27%E -4.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.6%2026-03-27 19:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.22%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-28 03:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.84%EV -11.35%E -5.04%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.47%EV -23.58%E -11.23%K -21.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.68%EV -15.27%E -4.36%K -6.11%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-27 21:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 40.72%EV -12.92%E -5.85%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -9.22%E -2.46%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-27 20:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 40.75%EV -16.08%E -7.55%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.00%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.25%EV -13.34%E -3.72%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-28 01:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-03-27 19:25
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-03-28 03:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-03-26 23:19
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%7.9%2026-03-27 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%7.9%2026-03-27 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-27 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%8.4%2026-03-27 19:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-03-27 23:05
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%9.9%2026-03-27 19:25
Kalshi◎1.08I 92.59%NM 49.06%1.04I 96.15%NM 50.94%88.7%2026-03-27 18:50