The School of Odds
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Syracuse Crunch v Lehigh Valley Phantoms

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 49.86%2.01fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.69%50.33%49.86%51.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.811.9558.14%55.02%55.25%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit)

Prediction 28.39%3.52fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -0.963%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.27%27.89%28.39%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.203.203.4433.90%31.30%31.25%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.75%4.60fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.623%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.94%21.78%21.75%23.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.124.104.4725.97%24.26%24.39%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 49.86%; Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit): 28.39%; Draw: 21.75%. For Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.44, with an expected value of -2.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -2.76%E -1.42%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 10:05
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -3.26%E -1.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 10:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.75%E -3.61%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.32%E -1.92%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:54
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.51%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.40%EV -2.35%E -0.683%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.09%EV -2.78%E -0.623%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 12:35
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.75%E -4.78%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.16%E -2.86%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-13 19:55
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -9.74%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.29%EV -4.34%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.66%E -2.06%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 20:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.60%EV -9.74%E -5.38%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.50%EV -10.58%E -3.36%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -10.83%E -2.64%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-13 19:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.02%EV -10.24%E -5.69%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -12.00%E -3.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -6.48%E -1.51%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.30%EV -11.74%E -6.63%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.42%E -4.40%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.09%EV -14.09%E -3.57%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-13 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.39%EV -13.24%E -7.61%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.13%EV -16.26%E -5.51%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.48%EV -13.01%E -3.25%K -4.34%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-13 19:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.12%EV -13.24%E -7.61%K -17.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.68%EV -15.41%E -5.17%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.20%EV -16.27%E -4.23%K -5.71%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-13 22:33
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.94%EV -14.23%E -8.27%K -19.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -3.49%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -10.83%E -2.64%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-13 20:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.1%2026-03-13 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%4.9%2026-03-12 09:00
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-13 22:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-13 20:00
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-03-13 22:49
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%8.0%2026-03-13 09:30
Smarkets◎1.52I 65.79%NM 60.82%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.18%8.2%2026-03-13 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%9.2%2026-03-13 20:00