The School of Odds
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Syracuse Crunch v Hershey Bears

Kickoff: 2026-03-27 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 51.72%1.93fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%52.08%51.72%53.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.771.791.8860.98%56.36%56.02%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hershey Bears (Visit)

Prediction 26.95%3.71fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.08%26.90%26.95%28.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.383.423.5633.90%29.62%29.20%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.553%
Kelly -0.707%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.93%21.02%21.33%23.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.144.004.5725.64%24.18%25.00%21.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 51.72%; Hershey Bears (Visit): 26.95%; Draw: 21.33%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.57, with an expected value of -2.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.32%EV -2.77%E -1.47%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.10%EV -4.05%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.58%EV -4.66%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-25 23:20
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 12:25
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 12:24
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 12:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 12:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.68%EV -5.36%E -2.93%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.13%EV -4.32%E -1.22%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 12:24
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.29%EV -5.87%E -3.23%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.43%EV -2.53%E -0.553%K -0.707%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-27 22:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -6.91%E -3.84%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.15%E -1.40%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 23:05
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -8.46%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.35%E -2.20%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-27 03:09
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.84%EV -8.46%E -4.78%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.01%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-26 12:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.22%EV -8.98%E -5.10%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -11.05%E -3.35%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.42%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-25 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.55%EV -10.01%E -5.75%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.40%E -3.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.86%EV -8.28%E -1.93%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-25 23:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.75%EV -11.56%E -6.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -15.10%E -4.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-27 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 50.75%EV -11.56%E -6.76%K -16.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.55%EV -15.10%E -4.79%K -7.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -14.68%E -3.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-27 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 50.54%EV -12.60%E -7.45%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.55%EV -16.44%E -5.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -16.82%E -4.31%K -5.80%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-27 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -13.63%E -8.16%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.36%E -2.46%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -4.02%E -0.893%K -1.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-26 13:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 50.73%EV -15.18%E -9.26%K -23.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.20%EV -20.49%E -6.95%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.06%EV -15.75%E -3.99%K -5.34%G +0.000%20.2%2026-03-25 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-03-27 22:45
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%5.0%2026-03-27 17:59
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-25 23:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-25 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-26 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%7.6%2026-03-26 12:24
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%7.6%2026-03-26 12:25
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%8.2%2026-03-27 11:25
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%8.3%2026-03-26 12:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-03-27 22:20