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Syracuse Crunch v Cleveland Monsters

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 19:20 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 40.66%2.46fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.496%
Kelly -0.843%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.47%40.66%40.66%42.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.252.4347.62%43.88%44.44%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Monsters (Visit)

Prediction 35.00%2.86fair odd
EV -7.24%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -4.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.91%35.00%35.00%39.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.402.6543.48%40.92%41.67%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.34%4.11fair odd
EV +4.66%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.066%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.74%24.34%24.34%24.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.984.104.3027.03%25.10%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 40.66%; Cleveland Monsters (Visit): 35.00%; Draw: 24.34%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.66%.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -1.21%E -0.496%K -0.843%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.78%EV -17.74%E -7.55%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV +4.66%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.066%7.0%2026-05-03 19:05
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.10%EV -9.74%E -4.39%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -7.94%E -3.02%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.36%EV +1.74%E +0.417%K +0.547%G +0.010%7.0%2026-05-03 18:59
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%EV -15.99%E -6.66%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.206%E -0.050%K -0.067%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 07:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%EV -15.99%E -6.66%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.206%E -0.050%K -0.067%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 07:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%EV -2.43%E -1.01%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.68%EV -15.99%E -6.66%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -0.206%E -0.050%K -0.067%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 07:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.22%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.71%EV -15.99%E -6.66%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.07%EV -0.206%E -0.050%K -0.067%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.22%EV -12.59%E -5.86%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.60%EV -19.49%E -8.47%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -5.07%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 06:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.75%EV -7.71%E -3.40%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.76%EV -10.56%E -4.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.22%EV -17.74%E -7.55%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-03 18:49
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.52%E -3.79%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.99%E -3.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.94%EV -14.62%E -6.96%K -13.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.82%EV -15.99%E -6.66%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.24%EV -9.94%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-03 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%5.1%2026-05-03 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%5.3%2026-05-03 18:59
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%6.3%2026-05-03 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-05-03 06:11
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%7.2%2026-05-03 19:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-05-03 06:10
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-05-03 07:15
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-05-03 07:11
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-05-03 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%9.0%2026-05-03 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.45%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.55%9.3%2026-05-03 19:05