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Syracuse Crunch v Charlotte Checkers

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 22:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 43.37%2.31fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%43.64%43.37%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.142.202.2352.08%46.81%45.45%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Checkers (Visit)

Prediction 33.88%2.95fair odd
EV -5.80%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.40%33.87%33.88%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.652.632.7840.82%37.80%38.02%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.74%4.40fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%22.48%22.74%24.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.933.904.2027.40%25.45%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 43.37%; Charlotte Checkers (Visit): 33.88%; Draw: 22.74%. For Syracuse Crunch (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -3.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.04%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -11.31%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.04%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -11.31%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.04%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -11.31%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.04%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -11.31%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.04%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -11.31%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -3.27%E -1.47%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.04%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -11.31%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 22:00
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.52%EV -3.71%E -1.67%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -6.76%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.53%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -8.51%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -6.76%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 21:59
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -4.58%E -2.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -11.90%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -14.72%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 22:00
1xBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.64%EV -7.18%E -3.35%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.59%EV -5.80%E -2.09%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.76%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.28%EV -7.61%E -3.57%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.63%EV -11.90%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -11.31%E -2.90%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.37%EV -8.91%E -4.24%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -16.98%E -6.93%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -14.72%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 21:59
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -11.08%E -5.41%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.03%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 22:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 42.05%EV -11.95%E -5.89%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.56%EV -16.31%E -6.60%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%EV -16.99%E -4.66%K -6.41%G +0.000%17.1%2026-02-21 21:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.39%EV -14.12%E -7.13%K -14.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.68%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -6.76%E -1.65%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-21 22:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.48%EV -14.55%E -7.39%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.18%EV -8.51%E -3.15%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-02-21 22:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.71%EV -16.72%E -8.71%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.40%EV -10.21%E -3.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.89%EV -14.72%E -3.93%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-21 22:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%5.0%2026-02-21 22:00
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%5.3%2026-02-21 21:59
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-02-21 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-02-21 22:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-02-21 22:00
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-02-21 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-02-21 21:59
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-02-21 22:00
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%8.5%2026-02-21 22:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%9.4%2026-02-21 21:59
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 52.85%1.67I 59.88%NM 47.15%27.0%2026-02-21 22:00