Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch v Belleville Senators

2026-10-10 23:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Syracuse Crunch (Local)

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.97%27.01%27.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.363.403.5632.26%29.77%29.41%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belleville Senators (Visit)

Prediction 51.59%1.94fair odd
EV -5.59%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -6.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.68%51.91%51.60%53.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.751.771.8359.88%57.10%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.36%4.68fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.481%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.93%21.11%21.39%21.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.394.404.6025.32%22.79%22.73%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Syracuse Crunch (Local): 27.04%; Belleville Senators (Visit): 51.59%; Draw: 21.36%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.60, with an expected value of -1.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.64%EV -3.72%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -5.59%E -3.05%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -6.00%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 25.81%EV -3.72%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -10.23%E -5.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -8.14%E -1.89%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-10 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -6.70%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.13%E -3.96%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -6.00%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.73%E -0.376%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.73%E -0.376%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.73%E -0.376%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.73%E -0.376%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.73%E -0.376%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -1.73%E -0.376%K -0.481%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -8.68%E -4.90%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.21%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.05%E -2.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -13.84%E -8.29%K -20.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -3.87%E -0.859%K -1.11%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.75%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -9.71%E -5.55%K -12.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.28%E -2.45%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.79%EV -10.23%E -5.88%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -6.00%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.36%EV -12.65%E -3.92%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.08%EV -10.74%E -6.21%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -12.41%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -16.16%E -5.21%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.24%EV -13.32%E -7.93%K -19.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.99%EV -12.41%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -16.16%E -5.21%K -7.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 50.68%EV -12.81%E -7.58%K -18.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.69%EV -15.62%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.0%2026-10-10 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%5.1%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%5.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%7.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 37.22%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.78%8.3%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%8.4%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00