赔率学院

Springfield Thunderbirds v Rochester Americans

开赛时间： 2026-04-10 23:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Springfield Thunderbirds (主队)

预测 35.79%2.79公平赔率
EV -5.17%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -3.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.65

博彩公司预测分布
35.07%35.91%35.79%37.62%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.382.552.552.6542.02%39.28%39.22%37.74%MIN均值中位数MAX

Rochester Americans (客队)

预测 41.57%2.41公平赔率
EV -4.81%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -3.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.29

博彩公司预测分布
40.31%41.76%41.57%43.63%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.052.212.252.2948.78%45.28%44.54%43.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 22.65%4.42公平赔率
EV -1.27%
优势 -0.291%
Kelly -0.377%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.36

博彩公司预测分布
21.26%22.32%22.65%23.95%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.733.973.904.3626.81%25.16%25.64%22.94%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:24
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:25
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:25
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:24
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:25
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:25
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 21:25
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -7.72%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 20:08
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.08%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 21:24
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -14.78%E -7.21%K -14.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 21:30
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.25%EV -6.89%E -3.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.79%EV -3.98%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 23:04
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.91%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.37%EV -9.80%E -4.51%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -10.55%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-10 20:10
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.62%EV -10.89%E -4.37%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -4.81%E -2.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.48%EV -1.27%E -0.291%K -0.377%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 23:04
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.42%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 23:05
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-10 22:55
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 23:05
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.89%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.02%EV -14.78%E -7.21%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-10 17:34
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.87%EV -14.83%E -6.23%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 41.24%EV -13.95%E -6.74%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 22.89%EV -15.53%E -4.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-10 22:38
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%3.9%2026-04-10 23:05
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%5.1%2026-04-10 20:10
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-04-10 20:05
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%7.5%2026-04-10 21:25
Bally Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%7.5%2026-04-10 21:24
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%7.8%2026-04-10 20:05
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%8.1%2026-04-10 10:59
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-04-10 20:10
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%8.4%2026-04-10 21:25
PointsBet (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%9.0%2026-04-10 21:40