语言:简体中文
Springfield Thunderbirds v Rochester Americans
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Springfield Thunderbirds (主队)
预测 35.79%2.79公平赔率
EV -5.17%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -3.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.65
博彩公司预测分布
35.07%35.91%35.79%37.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.552.552.6542.02%39.28%39.22%37.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
Rochester Americans (客队)
预测 41.57%2.41公平赔率
EV -4.81%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -3.73%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.29
博彩公司预测分布
40.31%41.76%41.57%43.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.212.252.2948.78%45.28%44.54%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.65%4.42公平赔率
EV -1.27%
优势 -0.291%
Kelly -0.377%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.36
博彩公司预测分布
21.26%22.32%22.65%23.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.733.973.904.3626.81%25.16%25.64%22.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Springfield Thunderbirds (主队)：35.79%；Rochester Americans (客队)：41.57%；平局：22.65%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.42。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.36，期望值为-1.27%，未产生正期望值。
有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 21:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 21:24 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.90%EV -5.22%E -2.29%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.75%EV -7.72%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-10 20:08 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -15.08%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-10 21:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -8.75%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -14.78%E -7.21%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-10 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.96%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.25%EV -6.89%E -3.07%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.79%EV -3.98%E -0.940%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.91%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.37%EV -9.80%E -4.51%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.73%EV -10.55%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-10 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.62%EV -10.89%E -4.37%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -4.81%E -2.10%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.48%EV -1.27%E -0.291%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-10 23:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -6.47%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.42%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.71%E -6.05%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.95%E -3.67%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-10 22:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -10.63%E -4.94%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -4.89%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.89%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.02%EV -14.78%E -7.21%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.09%EV -11.68%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-10 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.87%EV -14.83%E -6.23%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.24%EV -13.95%E -6.74%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 22.89%EV -15.53%E -4.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-10 22:38 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91% | 3.9% | 2026-04-10 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 5.1% | 2026-04-10 20:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 5.6% | 2026-04-10 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 21:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 7.8% | 2026-04-10 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76% | 8.1% | 2026-04-10 10:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83% | 8.2% | 2026-04-10 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43% | 8.4% | 2026-04-10 21:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45% | 9.0% | 2026-04-10 21:40 |