The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Springfield Thunderbirds v Providence Bruins

Kickoff: 2026-03-25 23:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Springfield Thunderbirds (Local)

Prediction 25.51%3.92fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.19%25.27%25.51%26.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.283.603.583.7530.49%27.82%27.97%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Providence Bruins (Visit)

Prediction 53.29%1.88fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -2.57%
Kelly -5.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.65%53.82%53.29%55.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.721.751.7962.50%58.27%57.14%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.19%4.72fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.89%20.91%21.19%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.194.204.5025.64%23.87%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Springfield Thunderbirds (Local): 25.51%; Providence Bruins (Visit): 53.29%; Draw: 21.19%. For Springfield Thunderbirds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -4.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 22:54
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 22:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-25 22:54
GTbets🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.41%EV -4.58%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.09%EV -4.61%E -2.57%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.50%EV -6.32%E -1.43%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -6.75%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 23:04
1xBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.35%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.41%EV -7.59%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-25 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -5.60%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -14.73%E -9.21%K -24.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -4.63%E -1.03%K -1.32%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-25 23:05
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -8.15%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -13.10%E -3.20%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-25 22:54
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -16.28%E -4.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-25 23:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -16.28%E -4.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-25 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.65%EV -6.74%E -3.85%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -16.28%E -4.12%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-25 23:06
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -8.87%E -5.19%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -8.87%E -2.06%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-25 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.70%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.99%E -2.62%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-25 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.75%E -1.53%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-25 23:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.05%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.35%EV -13.67%E -8.44%K -22.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -15.22%E -3.81%K -5.07%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-25 23:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 26.03%EV -16.31%E -4.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 52.07%EV -12.60%E -7.68%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.90%EV -17.34%E -4.45%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-25 23:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%5.3%2026-03-25 23:04
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%5.8%2026-03-25 23:06
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-03-25 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-03-25 23:04
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-03-25 23:05
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-03-25 23:05
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%7.9%2026-03-25 23:05
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 36.16%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.84%8.0%2026-03-25 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%8.9%2026-03-25 23:04