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Springfield Thunderbirds v Lehigh Valley Phantoms

2026-10-16 23:05 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Springfield Thunderbirds (Local)

Prediction 36.89%2.71fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.95%36.74%36.82%37.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.482.5944.44%40.73%40.32%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit)

Prediction 41.15%2.43fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%40.76%41.17%41.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.232.272.3150.00%44.84%43.96%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.96%4.55fair odd
EV -6.67%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%22.50%22.00%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.054.104.2527.78%24.70%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Springfield Thunderbirds (Local): 36.89%; Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit): 41.15%; Draw: 21.96%. For Springfield Thunderbirds (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.59, with an expected value of -4.45%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.43%EV -4.45%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.84%EV -4.95%E -2.14%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.73%EV -8.87%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 07:05
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 36.28%EV -7.40%E -2.95%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.84%EV -8.24%E -3.70%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.88%EV -12.60%E -3.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-16 13:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -7.42%E -3.30%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.67%E -1.57%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-16 06:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -20.94%E -5.82%K -8.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-16 10:20
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 06:59
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 06:59
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.27%EV -8.51%E -3.43%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -5.36%E -2.33%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-16 07:05
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%EV -9.61%E -3.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%EV -9.47%E -4.31%K -7.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-16 07:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.82%EV -9.61%E -3.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.19%EV -9.89%E -4.51%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -9.96%E -2.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-16 07:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -7.77%E -1.85%K -2.43%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 07:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -11.46%E -4.77%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.53%E -5.36%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -12.16%E -3.04%K -4.05%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-16 07:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.64%EV -13.30%E -5.66%K -9.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.00%EV -13.59%E -6.47%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.36%EV -15.45%E -4.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-16 11:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.91%EV -16.99%E -7.55%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.52%EV -17.70%E -8.85%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.57%EV -15.45%E -4.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%20.4%2026-10-16 07:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-10-16 13:19
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%6.5%2026-10-16 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%7.1%2026-10-16 13:20
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%7.6%2026-10-16 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%7.6%2026-10-16 07:04
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%8.2%2026-10-16 07:05
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 47.57%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.43%8.4%2026-10-16 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%9.1%2026-10-16 07:05
Kalshi◎1.05I 95.24%NM 50.00%1.05I 95.24%NM 50.00%90.5%2026-10-16 07:00