The School of Odds
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Springfield Thunderbirds v Hartford Wolf Pack

2026-11-01 20:05 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Springfield Thunderbirds (Local)

Prediction 37.98%2.63fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.776%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.57%37.52%37.98%38.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.452.452.6045.45%40.75%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 39.93%2.50fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%39.74%39.93%41.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.3748.78%44.88%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.09%4.53fair odd
EV -7.23%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.29%22.74%22.09%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.984.004.2027.78%25.13%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Springfield Thunderbirds (Local): 37.98%; Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit): 39.93%; Draw: 22.09%. For Springfield Thunderbirds (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.60, with an expected value of -1.24%; they do not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.24%E -0.477%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -10.16%E -4.52%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 08:05
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.24%E -0.477%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -10.16%E -4.52%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 08:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.24%E -0.477%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -10.16%E -4.52%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 08:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.24%E -0.477%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -10.16%E -4.52%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.24%E -0.477%K -0.776%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -10.16%E -4.52%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 08:09
GTbets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43%EV -4.28%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.79%EV -5.37%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.78%EV -8.56%E -2.07%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -8.17%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -20.48%E -5.69%K -7.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-31 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -6.94%E -2.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -16.15%E -7.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -16.07%E -4.23%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 08:09
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -7.70%E -3.17%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -8.96%E -3.93%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -10.54%E -2.60%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 08:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -8.84%E -3.68%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.17%E -3.55%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-31 08:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.90%EV -9.60%E -4.03%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.09%EV -10.16%E -4.52%K -8.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -9.44%E -2.30%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-31 08:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.06%EV -10.74%E -4.57%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.65%EV -12.16%E -5.53%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -7.23%E -1.72%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 08:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.99%EV -11.50%E -4.93%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.88%EV -11.36%E -5.12%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -11.65%E -2.91%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 08:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -14.54%E -6.46%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.11%EV -16.15%E -7.69%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.46%EV -17.17%E -4.58%K -6.24%G +0.000%18.7%2026-10-31 08:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.81%EV -16.43%E -7.47%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.58%EV -18.15%E -8.85%K -17.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.61%EV -14.96%E -3.89%K -5.25%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-31 08:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-10-31 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%6.8%2026-10-31 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%7.1%2026-10-31 08:39
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%7.6%2026-10-31 08:05
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%7.6%2026-10-31 08:10
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-10-31 08:09
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%10.3%2026-10-31 08:05
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%14.3%2026-10-31 08:15