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Springfield Thunderbirds v Charlotte Checkers

2026-10-11 19:05 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Springfield Thunderbirds (Local)

Prediction 41.43%2.41fair odd
EV -5.96%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.07%41.64%41.39%42.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.212.2748.78%45.71%45.15%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Checkers (Visit)

Prediction 35.92%2.78fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.34%35.68%35.95%36.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.582.7042.55%38.79%38.83%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.65%4.42fair odd
EV -6.47%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.83%22.68%22.66%24.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.933.904.1326.67%25.47%25.64%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Springfield Thunderbirds (Local): 41.43%; Charlotte Checkers (Visit): 35.92%; Draw: 22.65%. For Charlotte Checkers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.78. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.70, with an expected value of -3.01%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.56%EV -5.96%E -2.62%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -4.80%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -6.47%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 08:01
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.61%E -3.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 08:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.61%E -3.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 08:01
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.61%E -3.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 08:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.61%E -3.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 08:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.61%E -3.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.58%EV -7.61%E -3.41%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.34%EV -3.01%E -1.11%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -12.81%E -3.33%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 08:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.46%EV -8.03%E -3.62%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 08:00
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.22%EV -8.44%E -3.82%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.54%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 08:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.86%E -4.03%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -8.39%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 08:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.49%EV -10.10%E -4.65%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.19%E -4.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 08:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -10.93%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.54%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -7.15%E -1.74%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -10.93%E -5.08%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.13%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.70%EV -11.68%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 08:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -11.68%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -13.00%E -6.19%K -11.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -13.78%E -5.74%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -15.07%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-11 08:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.70%EV -15.07%E -7.35%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.38%EV -15.58%E -6.63%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.92%EV -11.68%E -2.99%K -4.03%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-11 08:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-11 13:50
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-10-11 10:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%6.5%2026-10-11 08:01
Betr (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-10-11 10:15
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%7.6%2026-10-11 08:01
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%7.6%2026-10-11 08:05
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%7.9%2026-10-11 08:00
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-10-11 08:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-10-11 10:44