The School of Odds
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San Jose Barracuda v Texas Stars

Kickoff: 2026-03-26 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Barracuda (Local)

Prediction 42.17%2.37fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.41%42.71%42.17%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.222.3050.00%45.64%45.05%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Stars (Visit)

Prediction 35.78%2.79fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -1.96%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%35.31%35.78%36.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.602.6543.48%39.24%38.46%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.05%4.53fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%21.97%22.05%24.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.993.904.2726.67%25.07%25.64%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Barracuda (Local): 42.17%; Texas Stars (Visit): 35.78%; Draw: 22.05%. For San Jose Barracuda (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -3.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 02:30
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 02:29
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 02:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 02:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 02:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -3.01%E -1.31%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 02:29
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -3.86%E -1.69%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.93%EV -5.18%E -1.96%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.30%EV -5.84%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 20:14
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.50%EV -5.96%E -2.67%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -8.76%E -3.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -17.30%E -4.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-24 02:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.08%EV -6.39%E -2.88%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.97%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.28%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-25 03:04
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.36%EV -8.49%E -3.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.49%EV -7.33%E -2.83%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -8.48%E -2.04%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 21:55
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -8.76%E -3.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -11.79%E -2.95%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-25 06:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.94%EV -9.34%E -4.34%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.07%EV -10.55%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -9.59%E -2.34%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-24 02:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.55%E -4.22%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-24 02:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.74%EV -11.45%E -5.45%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.78%EV -12.34%E -5.04%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -14.00%E -3.59%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-26 01:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.65%EV -13.56%E -6.61%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.88%EV -14.84%E -6.24%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.47%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-26 01:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -15.66%E -7.83%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -5.18%E -1.96%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.38%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-25 22:36
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.74%EV -15.66%E -7.83%K -15.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.29%EV -17.71%E -7.70%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.97%EV -16.20%E -4.26%K -5.79%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-24 02:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-03-25 20:55
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-03-24 02:30
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%7.6%2026-03-24 02:30
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%7.6%2026-03-24 02:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-03-24 02:30
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%8.0%2026-03-25 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-25 03:04
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%8.2%2026-03-24 02:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-03-25 03:04