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San Jose Barracuda v San Diego Gulls

Kickoff: 2026-03-05 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Barracuda (Local)

Prediction 42.50%2.35fair odd
EV -5.65%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.67%42.13%42.50%43.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.24%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Gulls (Visit)

Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV -7.30%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.76%34.63%34.85%35.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.632.6641.67%38.49%38.02%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.65%4.42fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -0.862%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.64%23.24%22.65%25.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.094.154.2928.57%24.43%24.10%23.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Barracuda (Local): 42.50%; San Diego Gulls (Visit): 34.85%; Draw: 22.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.29, with an expected value of -2.84%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.52%EV -5.65%E -2.54%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -7.30%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.00%EV -2.84%E -0.661%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 02:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.27%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.88%E -1.16%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 20:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -6.50%E -2.95%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.76%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -20.73%E -5.92%K -8.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-04 21:50
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.10%EV -9.47%E -4.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 34.51%EV -7.30%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 01:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.23%EV -9.47%E -4.45%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 20:35
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -8.35%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -3.74%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 20:29
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -8.35%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -3.74%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -8.35%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -3.74%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 20:30
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -8.35%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -3.74%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -8.35%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -3.74%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 20:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.90%E -4.67%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.97%EV -8.35%E -3.17%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.64%EV -3.74%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 20:30
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.41%E -2.35%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-05 02:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.81%EV -10.75%E -5.12%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 20:35
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.17%EV -12.02%E -5.81%K -11.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.04%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.14%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 20:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -15.00%E -7.50%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.62%EV -16.36%E -6.82%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.64%EV -10.54%E -2.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-04 20:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.68%EV -15.00%E -7.50%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 34.56%EV -13.92%E -5.64%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.76%EV -15.07%E -4.02%K -5.48%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-05 02:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-03-05 02:55
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%5.2%2026-03-05 00:20
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-03-05 02:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-03-05 02:50
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-04 20:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-04 17:10
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-03-04 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-03-04 20:30
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-03-04 20:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%8.8%2026-03-04 20:35