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San Jose Barracuda v San Diego Gulls

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Barracuda (Local)

Prediction 41.32%2.42fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -3.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.98%41.59%41.32%42.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.182.212.3050.00%45.78%45.15%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Diego Gulls (Visit)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.785%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.55%36.01%36.25%36.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.562.562.7044.44%39.03%39.06%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.43%4.46fair odd
EV -5.36%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%22.41%22.43%23.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.783.983.954.2226.46%25.16%25.32%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Barracuda (Local): 41.32%; San Diego Gulls (Visit): 36.25%; Draw: 22.43%. For San Diego Gulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -2.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -4.96%E -2.16%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.68%EV -6.83%E -2.66%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.34%EV -5.36%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 20:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -7.03%E -3.12%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.49%EV -7.56%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 20:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.12%E -0.785%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.41%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 00:05
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.12%E -0.785%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.41%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.12%E -0.785%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.41%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 00:05
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.12%E -0.785%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.41%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.12%E -0.785%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.41%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.12%E -0.785%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.41%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -7.86%E -3.52%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -2.12%E -0.785%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -11.41%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-07 00:05
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.39%EV -9.10%E -4.13%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.13%EV -8.64%E -3.43%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -9.17%E -2.26%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-07 08:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.15%EV -9.10%E -4.13%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-07 00:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.25%EV -9.92%E -4.55%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.26%EV -10.09%E -4.07%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-05 20:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.85%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -11.18%E -4.56%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -5.81%E -1.38%K -1.81%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 20:20
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -11.16%E -5.19%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.56%EV -5.74%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -14.78%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-07 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -7.56%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -10.29%E -2.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.31%EV -13.23%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.15%EV -12.99%E -5.41%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%EV -13.65%E -3.55%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-07 19:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 41.06%EV -14.05%E -6.76%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.34%EV -14.81%E -6.30%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.59%EV -15.22%E -4.03%K -5.48%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-07 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 41.40%EV -17.36%E -8.68%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.80%EV -18.43%E -8.19%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.79%EV -14.78%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%20.8%2026-04-05 20:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%5.3%2026-04-07 19:24
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-04-05 20:19
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%7.6%2026-04-07 00:05
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%7.6%2026-04-07 00:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%7.8%2026-04-05 20:19
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%8.0%2026-04-07 00:05
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%8.1%2026-04-07 08:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-04-06 20:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-04-06 20:04