Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Barracuda v Calgary Wranglers

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 02:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

51%

29%

20%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Jose Barracuda (Local)

Prediction 50.97%1.96fair odd

EV -6.22%

Edge -3.38%

Kelly -7.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

47.78%51.46%50.97%53.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.671.771.801.8459.88%56.36%55.56%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Calgary Wranglers (Visit)

Prediction 28.64%3.49fair odd

EV -5.48%

Edge -1.66%

Kelly -2.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.08%28.27%28.64%30.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.853.113.153.3035.09%32.17%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.39%4.90fair odd

EV -3.16%

Edge -0.665%

Kelly -0.842%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.42%20.27%20.39%22.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.904.374.404.7525.64%22.87%22.73%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Jose Barracuda (Local): 50.97%; Calgary Wranglers (Visit): 28.64%; Draw: 20.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.90. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.75, with an expected value of -3.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 50.86%EV -6.22%E -3.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.91%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-22 01:59
1xBet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.37%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%	3.23I 30.96%NM 28.95%EV -7.48%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -3.16%E -0.665%K -0.842%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-02-22 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 49.50%EV -7.24%E -3.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -14.07%E -4.69%K -7.04%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-02-22 02:05
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -8.25%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.34%E -2.61%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-02-22 02:05
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -8.25%E -4.59%K -10.32%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.17%EV -18.37%E -6.45%K -9.93%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.05%EV -20.49%E -5.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-02-22 02:05
Codere (IT)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 50.53%EV -9.27%E -5.21%K -11.89%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -9.78%E -3.10%K -4.55%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.92%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-02-22 02:03
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 48.85%EV -10.29%E -5.85%K -13.54%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.65%EV -16.94%E -5.84%K -8.91%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -18.45%E -4.61%K -6.15%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-02-22 02:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 51.74%EV -14.37%E -8.55%K -21.13%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -11.21%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-02-22 01:59
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -14.88%E -8.91%K -22.21%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -5.48%E -1.66%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -6.22%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%	11.9%	2026-02-22 02:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%	4.9%	2026-02-22 02:05
Bet Right🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%	5.0%	2026-02-22 01:59
Bovada🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%	6.2%	2026-02-22 01:58
Betr (AU)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%	6.7%	2026-02-22 01:59
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%	7.4%	2026-02-22 02:05
Smarkets◎	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.18%	2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%	8.2%	2026-02-22 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%	9.2%	2026-02-22 01:59
Kalshi◎	1.49I 67.11%NM 52.85%	1.67I 59.88%NM 47.15%	27.0%	2026-02-22 02:05