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San Diego Gulls v Tucson Roadrunners

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Gulls (Local)

Prediction 38.73%2.58fair odd
EV -5.12%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -3.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.20%38.46%38.65%39.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.402.4545.45%42.24%41.67%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tucson Roadrunners (Visit)

Prediction 38.62%2.59fair odd
EV -6.16%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%38.55%38.65%39.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.382.4345.45%42.60%42.02%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.65%4.41fair odd
EV -2.13%
Edge -0.493%
Kelly -0.642%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%23.00%22.70%24.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.994.004.3227.78%25.06%25.00%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Gulls (Local): 38.73%; Tucson Roadrunners (Visit): 38.62%; Draw: 22.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.32, with an expected value of -2.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.12%E -2.09%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.96%EV -8.09%E -3.40%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.12%EV -6.28%E -2.59%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.96%EV -6.16%E -2.54%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.92%EV -2.13%E -0.493%K -0.642%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 23:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -7.32%E -3.05%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.85%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -7.05%E -2.94%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -9.25%E -3.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -18.44%E -5.12%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-02 01:09
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.81%EV -7.83%E -3.29%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.12%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.07%EV -11.65%E -2.99%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65%EV -8.99%E -3.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.65%EV -9.25%E -3.94%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-01 22:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.89%EV -10.15%E -4.38%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.56%EV -9.64%E -4.12%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.38%E -2.35%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-01 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.93%E -4.75%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.90%EV -7.11%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 22:30
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.97%EV -11.70%E -5.13%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 37.81%EV -6.93%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.11%E -1.74%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-01 22:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.02%EV -12.86%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -11.18%E -4.86%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.80%EV -12.78%E -3.32%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-01 23:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -12.86%E -5.72%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.65%EV -13.11%E -5.83%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.70%EV -13.23%E -3.45%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-01 22:37
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -14.80%E -6.73%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -15.04%E -6.84%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.78%EV -10.51%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-01 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-04-01 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%5.3%2026-04-01 23:30
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%6.9%2026-04-02 00:10
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%8.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 50.14%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.86%8.4%2026-04-01 22:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-04-02 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-04-01 03:00