The School of Odds
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San Diego Gulls v San Jose Barracuda

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 01:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Gulls (Local)

Prediction 42.09%2.38fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.19%42.09%42.09%42.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.172.2348.78%46.42%46.08%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Barracuda (Visit)

Prediction 36.25%2.76fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.87%36.25%36.25%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.602.6542.55%39.10%38.46%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.66%4.62fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.82%21.66%21.66%22.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.124.104.3726.32%24.28%24.39%22.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Gulls (Local): 42.09%; San Jose Barracuda (Visit): 36.25%; Draw: 21.66%. For San Jose Barracuda (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -3.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.87%EV -6.15%E -2.76%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.76%EV -7.92%E -3.12%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.37%EV -5.33%E -1.22%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.41%E -3.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.56%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 05:25
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.94%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 06:30
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.94%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 06:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.94%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 06:30
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.94%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 06:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.94%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 06:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -8.68%E -4.00%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.94%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-24 06:35
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.16%EV -9.52%E -4.43%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -9.01%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.54%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.82%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 01:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.19%EV -11.62%E -5.53%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.04%EV -13.00%E -5.42%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -17.68%E -4.65%K -6.31%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-25 01:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.70%EV -13.73%E -6.70%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.38%EV -14.81%E -6.30%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.92%EV -15.51%E -3.98%K -5.35%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-25 01:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%5.1%2026-10-24 06:39
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-10-25 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%7.1%2026-10-25 00:05
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%7.5%2026-10-24 06:35
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%7.5%2026-10-24 06:30
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%8.0%2026-10-24 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-10-24 06:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%9.1%2026-10-24 06:35
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 54.39%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%14.2%2026-10-25 01:05