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San Diego Gulls v Rockford IceHogs

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Gulls (Local)

Prediction 50.54%1.98fair odd
EV -5.50%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -6.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.44%50.59%50.54%51.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.831.8758.14%54.98%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rockford IceHogs (Visit)

Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.85%27.60%27.67%28.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.033.323.403.4533.00%30.16%29.41%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.80%4.59fair odd
EV -4.54%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.01%21.81%21.80%23.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.834.084.004.3826.11%24.50%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: San Diego Gulls (Local): 50.54%; Rockford IceHogs (Visit): 27.67%; Draw: 21.80%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.38, with an expected value of -4.54%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.50%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.82%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:05
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.50%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.82%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.50%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.82%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 20:59
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.50%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.82%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.50%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.82%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.50%E -2.94%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -12.82%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 21:05
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -4.54%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.57%EV -4.54%E -1.04%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.51%E -3.52%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -5.92%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 08:59
LeoVegas🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.69%EV -8.53%E -4.71%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 21:05
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.04%E -5.02%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.46%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 08:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.18%EV -9.04%E -5.02%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 09:25
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.29%EV -9.54%E -5.33%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.85%EV -5.37%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.46%E -2.01%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 21:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.76%EV -10.05%E -5.64%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.46%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 08:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.10%EV -11.56%E -6.61%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.69%E -2.63%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.44%EV -12.57%E -7.27%K -17.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.23%EV -16.16%E -5.33%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.33%EV -16.52%E -4.31%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-08 01:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 50.15%EV -13.08%E -7.60%K -18.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.28%EV -15.61%E -5.12%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -12.82%E -3.20%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-07 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 35.00%1.54I 64.94%NM 65.00%-0.1%2026-03-08 01:30
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%4.9%2026-03-07 21:20
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-03-07 23:39
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%6.2%2026-03-07 10:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-07 23:39
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%7.4%2026-03-07 07:54
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%7.8%2026-03-07 21:05
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%7.8%2026-03-07 21:04
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%7.8%2026-03-07 21:00
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%8.3%2026-03-07 14:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%9.2%2026-03-07 21:49