Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Gulls v Henderson Silver Knights

2026-10-11 01:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

San Diego Gulls (Local)

Prediction 37.05%2.70fair odd
EV -5.15%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.95%36.85%37.08%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5643.48%41.00%40.82%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henderson Silver Knights (Visit)

Prediction 40.94%2.44fair odd
EV -5.43%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%40.63%40.95%41.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.212.232.3147.62%45.15%44.84%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.01%4.54fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.714%
Kelly -0.924%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.97%22.52%21.97%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.184.214.4027.78%23.91%23.78%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: San Diego Gulls (Local): 37.05%; Henderson Silver Knights (Visit): 40.94%; Draw: 22.01%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.40, with an expected value of -3.14%; they do not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.81%EV -5.15%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.80%EV -5.43%E -2.35%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.39%EV -7.32%E -1.74%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.95%EV -7.07%E -3.12%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -6.44%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -5.84%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -20.75%E -5.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 13:58
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.77%EV -8.12%E -3.27%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.26%EV -9.53%E -4.31%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.97%EV -8.64%E -2.08%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 18:30
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -8.71%E -3.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -8.71%E -3.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -8.71%E -3.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -8.71%E -3.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -8.71%E -3.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -8.71%E -3.91%K -7.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -3.14%E -0.714%K -0.924%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.08%EV -9.23%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.29%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -9.97%E -4.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.95%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -9.74%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -11.08%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98%EV -9.94%E -4.52%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.08%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.87%EV -11.17%E -5.15%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.45%EV -14.79%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.02%EV -14.03%E -6.68%K -12.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.03%EV -14.79%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.56%EV -14.03%E -6.68%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.41%EV -16.35%E -4.30%K -5.84%G +0.000%17.4%2026-10-10 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%4.1%2026-10-10 19:00
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%4.9%2026-10-10 14:00
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%6.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%7.2%2026-10-10 18:30
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%8.0%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%8.3%2026-10-10 14:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00