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Rockford IceHogs v Milwaukee Admirals

Kickoff: 2026-10-04 00:08 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs (Local)

Prediction 32.96%3.03fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.33%32.94%33.06%33.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.752.752.8938.46%36.39%36.36%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Admirals (Visit)

Prediction 44.48%2.25fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.12%44.74%44.35%46.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.082.102.1551.81%48.16%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.56%4.43fair odd
EV +0.619%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.95%22.32%22.59%23.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.004.4626.67%24.72%25.00%22.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rockford IceHogs (Local): 32.96%; Milwaukee Admirals (Visit): 44.48%; Draw: 22.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.619%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.33%EV -4.76%E -1.65%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.72%EV -11.03%E -5.52%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.95%EV +0.619%E +0.139%K +0.179%G +0.001%7.0%2026-10-03 23:58
GTbets🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.32%EV -6.74%E -2.38%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.28%EV -5.25%E -2.46%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.40%EV -5.02%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 09:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.47%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.27%EV -14.15%E -7.33%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -5.25%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-03 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -7.72%E -2.76%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.58%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 09:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -11.03%E -5.52%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -7.50%E -1.83%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-04 00:05
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 09:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 09:49
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 09:50
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 09:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 09:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 09:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -4.36%E -2.03%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-03 09:50
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-03 09:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-03 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.37%E -3.41%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.03%E -5.52%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -9.76%E -2.44%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-04 00:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -11.02%E -4.08%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.89%EV -8.81%E -4.30%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -10.89%E -2.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-03 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -14.32%E -5.51%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.18%EV -13.70%E -7.06%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.86%EV -15.40%E -4.11%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-04 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-10-03 21:20
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%5.3%2026-10-04 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%7.5%2026-10-03 19:55
Bally Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%8.1%2026-10-03 09:50
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%8.1%2026-10-03 09:50
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%8.3%2026-10-03 09:49
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.61%8.3%2026-10-03 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%9.0%2026-10-03 12:10
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.26%9.8%2026-10-04 00:05