The School of Odds
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Rockford IceHogs v Iowa Wild

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs (Local)

Prediction 52.19%1.92fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.46%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%52.19%52.16%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.791.791.8356.50%55.83%55.87%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Wild (Visit)

Prediction 47.81%2.09fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%47.81%47.84%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.941.932.0052.63%51.68%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rockford IceHogs (Local): 52.19%; Iowa Wild (Visit): 47.81%. For Iowa Wild (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -4.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.50%E -2.46%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.33%E -2.69%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 23:35
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.38%E -2.19%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-27 23:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.68%E -4.54%K -9.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-27 00:24
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.06%E -3.37%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-28 00:05
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.10%E -3.99%K -9.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-27 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.63%E -4.31%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -7.72%E -4.00%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-27 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.63%E -4.31%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%EV -9.16%E -4.82%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-28 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 52.07%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.93%10.4%2026-03-27 23:20
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 38.32%1.05I 95.24%NM 61.68%54.4%2026-03-28 03:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.13%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.75%6.1%2026-03-27 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.29%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-28 00:05
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-03-27 23:15
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-03-27 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-03-27 23:15
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-03-27 23:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-03-27 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%8.0%2026-03-27 23:15
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%10.8%2026-03-27 23:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.18%2.49I 40.16%NM 36.14%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%11.1%2026-03-28 00:35
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.35%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.28%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%11.1%2026-03-27 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.69%11.6%2026-03-27 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.67%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.03%17.2%2026-03-27 23:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.67%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.30%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.03%17.2%2026-03-27 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.14%20.0%2026-03-27 23:30