The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Rockford IceHogs v Iowa Wild

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs (Local)

Prediction 40.14%2.49fair odd
EV -6.48%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.47%40.11%40.14%41.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.232.232.3346.51%44.86%44.84%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Wild (Visit)

Prediction 36.55%2.74fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.78%36.45%36.55%37.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.542.6543.48%39.62%39.45%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.31%4.29fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.673%
Kelly -0.886%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%23.43%23.31%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.883.904.1727.17%25.76%25.64%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rockford IceHogs (Local): 40.14%; Iowa Wild (Visit): 36.55%; Draw: 23.31%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.17, with an expected value of -2.81%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.29%EV -6.48%E -2.78%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -6.79%E -2.66%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -4.44%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 23:59
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.48%EV -7.28%E -3.15%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.10%EV -7.89%E -3.13%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.42%EV -2.81%E -0.673%K -0.886%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 23:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.68%E -3.34%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -12.60%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-15 00:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.02%EV -9.69%E -4.30%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 36.90%EV -10.81%E -4.43%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -9.10%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 00:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.10%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.10%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.10%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.10%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.10%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.44%EV -10.49%E -4.70%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.87%EV -3.13%E -1.18%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -9.10%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 00:00
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -11.69%E -5.32%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -4.96%E -1.91%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -12.60%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%EV -11.69%E -5.32%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -12.27%E -5.11%K -8.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -4.44%E -1.08%K -1.43%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-15 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.67%EV -11.69%E -5.32%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.62%E -3.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.43%E -3.01%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 23:58
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -11.69%E -5.32%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -14.10%E -6.00%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -12.60%E -3.36%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.83%EV -13.70%E -6.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.91%EV -15.20%E -6.55%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.27%EV -14.23%E -3.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%16.8%2026-03-14 23:58
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.75%EV -13.70%E -6.37%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.16%EV -15.93%E -6.93%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.10%EV -13.76%E -3.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-15 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-03-15 00:00
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-03-15 00:00
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%5.4%2026-03-14 23:59
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-03-15 00:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-03-15 00:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-03-14 23:46
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-03-14 23:59
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%8.2%2026-03-15 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-03-15 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%9.1%2026-03-14 23:59