The School of Odds
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Rockford IceHogs v Iowa Wild

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs (Local)

Prediction 36.18%2.76fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.96%36.59%36.18%37.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.532.6742.55%39.92%39.53%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iowa Wild (Visit)

Prediction 41.30%2.42fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.68%40.92%41.30%43.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.222.242.3748.78%45.08%44.74%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.52%4.44fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.78%22.49%22.52%23.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.953.904.2427.03%25.33%25.64%23.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rockford IceHogs (Local): 36.18%; Iowa Wild (Visit): 41.30%; Draw: 22.52%. For Iowa Wild (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -2.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.96%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.02%EV -10.38%E -4.78%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.02%EV -4.53%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 23:59
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 06:59
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 06:59
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 07:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 07:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 07:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.20%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.13%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -12.18%E -3.12%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-16 07:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -7.73%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.46%EV -8.32%E -3.75%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 21:05
GTbets🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.58%EV -9.18%E -3.66%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.80%EV -2.12%E -0.896%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.62%EV -6.10%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 07:05
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.15%EV -9.14%E -4.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 00:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.37%EV -9.97%E -4.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-16 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -9.54%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.51%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -7.68%E -1.87%K -2.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.35%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.24%EV -13.27%E -6.32%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.41%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-17 00:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.58%EV -13.16%E -5.48%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.65%EV -15.34%E -7.48%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -15.56%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-17 00:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -14.97%E -6.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -9.93%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 20:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.95%EV -14.97%E -6.37%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.21%EV -15.34%E -7.48%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.83%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-16 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%5.1%2026-10-16 21:10
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-10-17 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%7.0%2026-10-16 21:20
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%7.7%2026-10-16 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%7.7%2026-10-16 07:04
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%7.9%2026-10-16 07:05
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-10-16 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%9.0%2026-10-16 22:55
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 50.42%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.58%10.8%2026-10-17 00:00