The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs v Grand Rapids Griffins

2026-11-08 01:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs (Local)

Prediction 38.08%2.63fair odd
EV -5.17%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.77%38.08%38.05%38.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.402.4945.45%42.18%41.67%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 38.19%2.62fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.01%38.19%38.21%38.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.392.4746.51%42.35%41.84%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.72%4.22fair odd
EV -6.29%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%23.72%23.73%24.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.853.9528.57%26.42%25.97%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rockford IceHogs (Local): 38.08%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 38.19%; Draw: 23.72%. For Rockford IceHogs (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.49, with an expected value of -5.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

4 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.90%EV -5.17%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.21%EV -5.66%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-06 13:29
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 13:10
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.46%E -3.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -7.19%E -2.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.67%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-06 13:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -8.34%E -3.47%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.48%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-06 13:15
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -8.60%E -3.58%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.10%E -3.82%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-06 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.05%EV -9.74%E -4.11%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.21%EV -9.87%E -4.18%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.73%EV -9.85%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-06 13:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.50%E -4.47%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -10.25%E -4.36%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -6.29%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-06 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.96%EV -11.26%E -4.83%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.13%EV -11.39%E -4.91%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-06 13:09
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.77%EV -12.41%E -5.39%K -9.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.10%EV -12.92%E -5.67%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%EV -14.60%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-06 13:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.04%EV -16.21%E -7.37%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.04%EV -15.98%E -7.26%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.91%EV -16.97%E -4.85%K -6.79%G +0.000%19.5%2026-11-06 13:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.84%EV -16.21%E -7.37%K -13.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.72%EV -17.89%E -8.32%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.45%EV -15.78%E -4.45%K -6.19%G +0.000%20.1%2026-11-06 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (4)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%7.5%2026-11-06 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%7.5%2026-11-06 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%8.7%2026-11-06 13:09
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00%1.12I 89.29%NM 50.00%78.6%2026-11-06 15:30

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