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Rockford IceHogs v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs (Local)

Prediction 24.44%4.09fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.01%24.43%24.44%25.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.723.773.9230.77%26.92%26.53%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 54.27%1.84fair odd
EV -6.66%
Edge -3.87%
Kelly -9.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.87%54.58%54.27%55.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.681.691.7263.29%59.57%59.17%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.29%4.70fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -0.928%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.89%20.99%21.29%22.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.884.214.204.5025.77%23.77%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rockford IceHogs (Local): 24.44%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 54.27%; Draw: 21.29%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.70. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.50, with an expected value of -4.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.01%EV -4.20%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.03%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 20.96%EV -4.39%E -0.978%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -5.91%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.87%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -7.13%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -6.31%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 00:04
1xBet🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 24.35%EV -7.87%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.31%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 20:30
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -8.36%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.10%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%EV -9.50%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 04:15
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -12.70%E -3.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -9.58%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -13.17%E -8.23%K -21.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -4.18%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-01 21:24
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -10.80%E -2.96%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.90%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -10.57%E -2.52%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -12.02%E -3.34%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.14%EV -9.92%E -5.97%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.44%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -14.47%E -4.13%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 53.38%EV -11.54%E -7.08%K -18.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -14.82%E -3.71%K -4.94%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-01 23:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.42I 29.24%NM 24.96%EV -16.42%E -4.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 53.03%EV -12.63%E -7.84%K -20.70%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.00%EV -17.38%E -4.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-01 23:36
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 25.70%EV -20.57%E -6.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 52.87%EV -14.26%E -9.02%K -24.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.42%EV -16.95%E -4.35%K -5.85%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%0.9%2026-04-01 23:55
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%5.2%2026-04-01 20:34
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%6.0%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%7.5%2026-04-01 00:05
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%7.5%2026-04-01 00:04
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%7.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%7.8%2026-04-01 20:34
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%8.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 34.98%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.02%8.3%2026-04-01 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%9.2%2026-04-01 00:10