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Rockford IceHogs v Grand Rapids Griffins

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 20:09 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs (Local)

Prediction 35.94%2.78fair odd
EV -6.55%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.43%35.88%35.94%37.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.552.6043.48%40.15%39.22%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit)

Prediction 40.91%2.44fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.26%41.02%40.91%42.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.302.3747.62%44.51%43.48%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.15%4.32fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%23.11%23.15%23.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.893.954.1028.17%25.68%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rockford IceHogs (Local): 35.94%; Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit): 40.91%; Draw: 23.15%. For Grand Rapids Griffins (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.37, with an expected value of -3.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.97%EV -7.13%E -3.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -6.55%E -2.52%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -14.09%E -6.71%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -9.72%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 18:29
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 17:39
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 17:39
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -8.35%E -3.27%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -8.56%E -2.17%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-18 17:39
1xBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.27%EV -9.79%E -3.90%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.47%EV -3.04%E -1.28%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.27%EV -6.94%E -1.73%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 19:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.15%E -4.06%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 40.68%EV -9.59%E -4.34%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.88%E -2.83%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-18 16:15
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -11.94%E -4.88%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -5.91%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.41%E -1.85%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -13.74%E -5.73%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -5.09%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-18 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.75%EV -15.54%E -6.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.26%EV -10.00%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -16.67%E -4.63%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-18 20:03
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.96%EV -15.54%E -6.61%K -11.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.24%EV -14.09%E -6.71%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.80%EV -17.82%E -5.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-18 19:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.16%EV -17.34%E -7.54%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.75%EV -12.04%E -5.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.10%EV -14.35%E -3.88%K -5.32%G +0.000%17.0%2026-10-18 20:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-10-18 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-10-18 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%7.0%2026-10-18 19:49
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%8.0%2026-10-18 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%8.0%2026-10-18 17:39
Smarkets◎1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%8.2%2026-10-18 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%8.3%2026-10-18 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%9.0%2026-10-18 19:54
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 43.07%1.43I 69.93%NM 56.93%22.8%2026-10-18 20:05