Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs v Chicago Wolves

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

32%

46%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rockford IceHogs (Local)

Prediction 31.82%3.14fair odd

EV -6.14%

Edge -2.08%

Kelly -3.15%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.33%31.59%31.82%33.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.652.822.832.9537.74%35.51%35.40%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Wolves (Visit)

Prediction 46.35%2.16fair odd

EV +0.571%

Edge +0.263%

Kelly +0.488%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

42.50%46.65%46.35%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.821.971.942.1754.95%50.65%51.41%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.84%4.58fair odd

EV -5.01%

Edge -1.15%

Kelly -1.50%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.96%21.75%21.84%23.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.804.104.104.3526.32%24.39%24.39%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rockford IceHogs (Local): 31.82%; Chicago Wolves (Visit): 46.35%; Draw: 21.84%. For Chicago Wolves (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.571%.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
Unibet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV +0.571%E +0.263%K +0.488%G +0.003%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -15.93%E -4.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-14 00:00
Grosvenor🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.50%E -4.55%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.50%EV +0.571%E +0.263%K +0.488%G +0.003%	3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -15.93%E -4.14%K -5.59%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-14 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.73%E -2.66%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.80%EV -5.45%E -2.67%K -5.24%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-13 23:59
GTbets🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.41%EV -5.92%E -2.91%K -5.74%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.66%EV -5.01%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-13 23:59
1xBet🎯	2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -6.46%E -2.20%K -3.33%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.73%EV -7.31%E -3.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -5.01%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-03-13 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.21%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 45.79%EV -8.70%E -4.42%K -8.97%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.00%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-03-14 00:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 45.38%EV -11.02%E -5.74%K -11.97%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -14.84%E -3.81%K -5.12%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-03-14 00:00
Betway🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 47.18%EV -11.48%E -6.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-03-14 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -11.94%E -6.29%K -13.27%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.96%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-03-14 00:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 32.26%EV -15.68%E -5.92%K -9.50%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 45.24%EV -12.41%E -6.56%K -13.94%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.50%EV -17.02%E -4.48%K -6.08%G +0.000%	17.0%	2026-03-13 23:59
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -13.33%E -7.13%K -15.32%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.82%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-03-13 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 31.83%EV -14.09%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 47.21%EV -15.65%E -8.60%K -19.09%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 20.96%EV -10.47%E -2.55%K -3.38%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-03-14 00:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi◎	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%	2.8%	2026-03-14 00:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%	5.2%	2026-03-13 23:59
Bet Right🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%	5.2%	2026-03-13 23:59
William Hill🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%	7.2%	2026-03-13 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%	7.6%	2026-03-13 23:59
BetRivers🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%	7.8%	2026-03-14 00:00
Smarkets◎	2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%	8.5%	2026-03-14 00:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%	9.1%	2026-03-13 23:59