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Rochester Americans v Utica Comets

Kickoff: 2026-03-11 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Americans (Local)

Prediction 43.13%2.32fair odd
EV -5.55%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.35%43.49%43.13%46.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.042.002.1951.55%48.95%50.00%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utica Comets (Visit)

Prediction 34.08%2.93fair odd
EV +3.96%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.076%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.33%33.88%34.08%34.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.802.773.0541.67%35.71%36.10%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.79%4.39fair odd
EV -6.57%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.89%22.63%22.79%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.933.954.1027.40%25.43%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochester Americans (Local): 43.13%; Utica Comets (Visit): 34.08%; Draw: 22.79%. For Utica Comets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.96%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.25%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.93%G +0.076%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.99%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 15:55
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.25%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.93%G +0.076%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.99%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 15:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.25%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.93%G +0.076%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.99%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.25%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.93%G +0.076%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.99%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 15:55
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.25%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.93%G +0.076%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.99%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.25%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV +3.96%E +1.30%K +1.93%G +0.076%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.99%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-10 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.26%EV -16.33%E -8.42%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV +0.549%E +0.186%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%EV -12.27%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-10 15:55
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.55%E -2.53%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.93%EV -5.25%E -1.89%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.57%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 22:59
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.92%EV -9.86%E -4.72%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.14%EV -5.59%E -2.02%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.85%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.02%EV -5.98%E -2.74%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -6.27%E -2.28%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -6.57%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-10 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.87%EV -13.74%E -6.87%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.24%EV -7.97%E -2.95%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.89%EV -6.57%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-11 17:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.19%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -8.85%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-11 03:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -9.68%E -3.65%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.13%E -2.85%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-10 11:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -9.43%E -4.49%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -11.38%E -4.38%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -8.85%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-10 11:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.54%EV -11.59%E -5.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.20%EV -13.08%E -5.13%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -14.55%E -3.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-11 22:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.35%EV -12.88%E -6.38%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.22%EV -14.79%E -5.92%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%EV -16.83%E -4.61%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-11 22:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 42.62%EV -15.47%E -7.89%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.81%EV -18.20%E -7.58%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.58%EV -15.69%E -4.24%K -5.81%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-10 11:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-03-10 11:24
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%5.2%2026-03-11 18:50
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-03-10 23:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%7.9%2026-03-10 23:30
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%8.0%2026-03-11 21:05
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.45%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.55%8.7%2026-03-11 11:11
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-03-10 15:54
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-03-10 15:54
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-03-10 15:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%9.4%2026-03-11 18:45