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Rochester Americans v Utica Comets

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Americans (Local)

Prediction 36.33%2.75fair odd
EV -5.19%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.07%36.02%36.33%37.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.472.482.6144.44%40.50%40.32%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Utica Comets (Visit)

Prediction 41.15%2.43fair odd
EV +0.003%
Edge +0.001%
Kelly +0.002%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.05%41.49%41.15%42.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.272.302.4350.00%43.98%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.52%4.44fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%22.49%22.52%24.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.903.804.2027.03%25.63%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochester Americans (Local): 36.33%; Utica Comets (Visit): 41.15%; Draw: 22.52%. For Utica Comets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.4299. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.4300, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.003%.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -9.91%E -4.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -15.55%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 20:25
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -9.91%E -4.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -15.55%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -9.91%E -4.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -15.55%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 20:25
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -9.91%E -4.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -15.55%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -9.91%E -4.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -15.55%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.29%EV -9.91%E -4.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -15.55%E -4.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 20:25
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.58%EV -9.55%E -3.83%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.99%EV -3.70%E -1.58%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.44%EV -6.09%E -1.46%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-21 23:04
GTbets🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.14%EV -5.19%E -1.99%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.84%EV -6.99%E -1.69%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-20 20:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.29%EV -7.37%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.13%EV -7.40%E -3.29%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.67%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-20 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -9.91%E -4.00%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.14%EV -9.87%E -4.51%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -9.92%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-20 20:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -11.00%E -4.49%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.85%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -5.42%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 20:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.38%EV -11.73%E -4.83%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.12%EV -11.52%E -5.36%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.50%EV -11.50%E -2.93%K -3.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-20 20:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.07%EV -7.37%E -2.89%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.58%EV -13.58%E -6.47%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -9.92%E -2.48%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-21 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.95%EV -14.63%E -6.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.21%EV -15.63%E -7.63%K -14.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.83%EV -16.68%E -4.51%K -6.18%G +0.000%18.4%2026-10-21 22:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.80%EV -18.26%E -8.12%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.40%EV -17.69%E -8.85%K -17.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.79%EV -14.43%E -3.80%K -5.15%G +0.000%20.8%2026-10-20 20:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%4.1%2026-10-21 22:50
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%5.1%2026-10-21 17:04
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%6.5%2026-10-20 20:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%7.0%2026-10-21 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%7.5%2026-10-20 20:25
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%7.5%2026-10-20 20:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-10-20 20:25
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-10-21 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%9.1%2026-10-20 23:05