Rochester Americans v Toronto Marlies

开赛时间： 2026-03-27 23:05 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

40%

37%

23%

模型估计的各赛果概率：IQM

Rochester Americans (主队)

预测 39.82%2.51公平赔率

EV -4.83%

优势 -2.02%

Kelly -3.47%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.39

博彩公司预测分布

39.40%40.20%39.82%41.53%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.102.272.302.3947.62%43.99%43.38%41.84%MIN均值中位数MAX

Toronto Marlies (客队)

预测 37.32%2.68公平赔率

EV -4.84%

优势 -1.90%

Kelly -3.12%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布

36.39%37.29%37.32%37.80%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

2.202.452.452.5545.45%40.88%40.82%39.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 22.86%4.37公平赔率

EV -3.98%

优势 -0.949%

Kelly -1.24%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布

21.26%22.51%22.86%23.79%MIN均值中位数MAX

赔率分布

3.653.913.904.2027.40%25.58%25.64%23.81%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 10 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
GTbets	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.52%EV -4.83%E -2.02%K -3.47%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.78%EV -6.71%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.16I 24.04%NM 22.70%EV -4.90%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-26 04:10
Unibet (UK)	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.75%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -6.71%E -2.68%K -4.47%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.27%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-26 23:09
Unibet	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.22%E -3.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-26 06:55
Unibet (NL)	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.22%E -3.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-26 06:55
Casumo	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.22%E -3.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-26 06:55
Grosvenor	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.22%E -3.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-26 06:54
Svenska Spel	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.22%E -3.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-26 06:55
ATG (SE)	2.33I 42.92%NM 39.82%EV -7.22%E -3.10%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.39%EV -4.84%E -1.90%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-03-26 06:55
1xBet	2.31I 43.29%NM 39.43%EV -8.01%E -3.47%K -6.12%G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49%NM 37.80%EV -10.07%E -4.18%K -7.14%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-03-27 22:05
Betway	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.78%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-27 03:29
Codere (IT)	2.27I 44.05%NM 39.68%EV -9.60%E -4.23%K -7.56%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 37.22%EV -9.69%E -4.00%K -6.83%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.84%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-03-26 07:49
Winamax (DE)	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -10.44%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-03-26 07:50
LeoVegas	2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -10.40%E -4.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -8.57%E -3.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.13%E -3.45%K -4.69%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-03-26 06:55
Parions Sport (FR)	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.33%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -12.30%E -5.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -14.27%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%	14.7%	2026-03-27 11:24
Unibet (FR)	2.20I 45.45%NM 39.64%EV -12.39%E -5.63%K -10.33%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 37.11%EV -12.30%E -5.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -14.27%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%	14.7%	2026-03-27 11:24
Betclic (FR)	2.17I 46.08%NM 39.40%EV -13.59%E -6.26%K -11.61%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 37.17%EV -14.17%E -6.16%K -10.90%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 23.42%EV -16.56%E -4.54%K -6.25%G +0.000%	17.0%	2026-03-27 22:38
Tipico (DE)	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -14.38%E -6.69%K -12.51%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.44%E -4.35%K -7.46%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.26%EV -3.98%E -0.949%K -1.24%G +0.000%	12.0%	2026-03-27 22:35
Winamax (FR)	2.10I 47.62%NM 39.53%EV -16.37%E -7.80%K -14.89%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 37.73%EV -17.90%E -8.14%K -14.92%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 22.74%EV -16.56%E -4.54%K -6.25%G +0.000%	20.5%	2026-03-26 07:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (10)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi	1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%	2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%	1.0%	2026-03-27 22:50
theScore Bet	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%	4.8%	2026-03-26 07:49
Bet Right	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%	1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%	5.3%	2026-03-27 18:29
Bally Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%	7.4%	2026-03-26 06:54
betPARX	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%	7.4%	2026-03-26 06:54
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%	7.9%	2026-03-26 07:04
BetRivers	1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%	7.9%	2026-03-26 06:54
Smarkets	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%	8.2%	2026-03-27 11:25
PointsBet (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%	1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%	9.0%	2026-03-26 23:14
Betr (AU)	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%	9.3%	2026-03-27 18:30