The School of Odds
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Rochester Americans v Syracuse Crunch

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Americans (Local)

Prediction 32.90%3.04fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.04%32.90%33.32%34.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.772.9239.22%36.46%36.04%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Syracuse Crunch (Visit)

Prediction 44.29%2.26fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.62%44.29%43.72%45.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.122.1750.76%47.69%47.17%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.81%4.38fair odd
EV -5.35%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.43%22.81%22.95%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.633.863.804.1527.55%25.90%26.32%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochester Americans (Local): 32.90%; Syracuse Crunch (Visit): 44.29%; Draw: 22.81%. For Syracuse Crunch (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.17, with an expected value of -3.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.35%EV -3.93%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.56%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.10%EV -6.72%E -1.64%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 23:25
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 10:29
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 10:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.62%EV -3.89%E -1.79%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 10:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.88%E -2.81%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.54%EV -12.74%E -6.47%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.43%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-20 22:20
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -6.99%E -3.33%K -6.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-20 03:14
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.89%EV -9.52%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.66%EV -6.10%E -2.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 22:44
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.14%EV -9.85%E -3.59%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -4.33%E -2.00%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -5.35%E -1.29%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-20 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -9.20%E -4.49%K -8.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -8.77%E -2.19%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 10:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -11.17%E -4.14%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.65%EV -8.76%E -4.25%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.05%E -2.83%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-19 10:49
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -14.46%E -5.56%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.29%EV -11.42%E -5.71%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.40%EV -15.62%E -4.22%K -5.78%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-20 23:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 33.19%EV -15.44%E -6.01%K -9.84%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.30%EV -12.74%E -6.47%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.50%EV -17.21%E -4.74%K -6.54%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-20 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -16.10%E -6.31%K -10.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.53%EV -12.30%E -6.21%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.68%EV -13.33%E -3.51%K -4.76%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-20 00:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%5.0%2026-03-19 04:15
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%5.3%2026-03-20 22:40
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%6.0%2026-03-20 22:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-03-19 10:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%7.9%2026-03-19 23:10
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%8.0%2026-03-20 11:10
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%8.3%2026-03-19 10:29
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%8.3%2026-03-19 10:29
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%8.3%2026-03-19 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%9.4%2026-03-19 23:49