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Rochester Americans v Lehigh Valley Phantoms

2026-10-30 23:05 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Americans (Local)

Prediction 37.85%2.64fair odd
EV -5.38%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.95%37.48%37.85%38.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.432.5045.45%41.86%41.15%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit)

Prediction 40.21%2.49fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%40.03%40.19%40.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.292.4348.78%44.15%43.76%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.95%4.56fair odd
EV -5.63%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.90%22.49%21.96%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.084.204.3027.78%24.50%23.81%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rochester Americans (Local): 37.85%; Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit): 40.21%; Draw: 21.95%. For Lehigh Valley Phantoms (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.43, with an expected value of -2.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -5.38%E -2.15%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -21.00%E -5.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 19:05
GTbets🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.22%EV -5.76%E -2.31%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.17%EV -2.30%E -0.947%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.61%EV -7.61%E -1.81%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-30 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.27%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%EV -7.53%E -3.27%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%EV -6.73%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-30 14:19
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.35%EV -7.65%E -3.13%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.15%EV -8.73%E -3.85%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.50%EV -11.12%E -2.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-30 17:59
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -8.03%E -3.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -6.32%E -2.71%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 14:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -8.03%E -3.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -6.32%E -2.71%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 14:20
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -8.03%E -3.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -6.32%E -2.71%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -8.03%E -3.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -6.32%E -2.71%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -8.03%E -3.30%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.78%EV -6.32%E -2.71%K -4.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-30 14:19
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91%EV -9.16%E -3.82%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -9.54%E -4.24%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.83%E -1.86%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.84%EV -9.92%E -4.17%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.20%EV -9.94%E -4.44%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -10.02%E -2.44%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-30 14:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%EV -11.06%E -4.70%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.85%EV -11.55%E -5.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -5.63%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.86%EV -11.81%E -5.07%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.09%EV -11.55%E -5.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -12.22%E -3.05%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-30 14:19
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.15%EV -13.70%E -6.01%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.54%EV -11.55%E -5.25%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -14.41%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-30 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.01%EV -14.84%E -6.60%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.78%EV -13.56%E -6.31%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.21%EV -15.51%E -4.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.9%2026-10-30 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.81%EV -16.73%E -7.61%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.58%EV -17.58%E -8.57%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.61%EV -15.51%E -4.03%K -5.44%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-30 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-30 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%5.3%2026-10-30 18:00
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%6.8%2026-10-30 14:19
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-10-30 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-10-30 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%7.3%2026-10-30 14:20
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%7.8%2026-10-30 14:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%7.8%2026-10-30 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%8.1%2026-10-30 14:20
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-10-30 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%9.0%2026-10-30 14:20