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Rochester Americans v Laval Rocket

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Americans (Local)

Prediction 38.71%2.58fair odd
EV -7.10%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -5.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.28%38.38%38.71%39.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.382.4046.51%42.82%42.02%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Laval Rocket (Visit)

Prediction 37.66%2.66fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.98%38.09%37.66%39.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.412.442.5545.45%41.51%40.98%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.64%4.23fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.74%23.53%23.64%24.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.583.823.854.0327.93%26.15%25.97%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochester Americans (Local): 38.71%; Laval Rocket (Visit): 37.66%; Draw: 23.64%. For Laval Rocket (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -3.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.86%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.46%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-27 00:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%EV -15.27%E -6.79%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-27 21:34
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -3.97%E -1.56%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.40%EV -4.75%E -1.18%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 00:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -6.61%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 06:59
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -6.61%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 06:59
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -6.61%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 06:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -6.61%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 06:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -6.61%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 06:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -6.61%E -2.67%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.00%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-26 06:59
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-27 04:59
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.58%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 06:59
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.28%EV -10.20%E -4.40%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.35%EV -8.12%E -3.33%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -7.82%E -2.01%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-27 23:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.80%EV -10.20%E -4.40%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.62%E -4.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -10.18%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-26 00:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.97%E -4.77%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -11.51%E -4.90%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -6.64%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-26 00:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.54%EV -12.91%E -5.74%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.70%EV -13.39%E -5.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.76%EV -13.73%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-27 23:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 38.55%EV -14.07%E -6.34%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.54%EV -14.14%E -6.20%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 23.91%EV -15.38%E -4.30%K -5.96%G +0.000%16.8%2026-02-27 23:37
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.84%EV -16.78%E -7.80%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.96%EV -17.15%E -7.80%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.20%EV -14.91%E -4.14%K -5.74%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-26 00:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-02-26 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%5.3%2026-02-27 10:44
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%6.0%2026-02-27 23:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%7.0%2026-02-26 08:43
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%8.1%2026-02-26 00:19
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%8.1%2026-02-27 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%8.1%2026-02-26 00:20
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%8.1%2026-02-26 00:19
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%8.1%2026-02-26 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%9.3%2026-02-27 00:09