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Rochester Americans v Cleveland Monsters

2026-11-05 00:05 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Americans (Local)

Prediction 37.44%2.67fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -2.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.13%37.44%37.44%38.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.442.452.5545.45%40.96%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cleveland Monsters (Visit)

Prediction 40.55%2.47fair odd
EV -1.05%
Edge -0.431%
Kelly -0.730%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%40.55%40.55%42.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.182.172.4449.02%45.89%46.08%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.01%4.54fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -0.929%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.73%22.01%22.01%22.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.194.204.4026.67%23.88%23.81%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rochester Americans (Local): 37.44%; Cleveland Monsters (Visit): 40.55%; Draw: 22.01%. For Cleveland Monsters (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.44, with an expected value of -1.05%; they do not produce positive expected value.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.30%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.66%EV -12.00%E -5.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 06:39
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.30%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.66%EV -12.00%E -5.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.30%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.66%EV -12.00%E -5.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 06:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.30%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.66%EV -12.00%E -5.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 06:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.30%EV -4.53%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.66%EV -12.00%E -5.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 06:40
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.13%EV -5.66%E -2.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.39%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.48%EV -10.86%E -2.68%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-02 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.28%E -3.38%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.53%EV -7.95%E -3.50%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-02 12:09
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.92%EV -9.40%E -3.88%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.60%EV -1.05%E -0.431%K -0.730%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.48%EV -7.78%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-02 06:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.15%E -4.23%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.98%EV -10.78%E -4.90%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-02 12:09
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.59%EV -10.90%E -4.58%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.68%EV -17.27%E -8.47%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.73%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-02 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.32%EV -11.27%E -4.76%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.57%EV -11.59%E -5.32%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-02 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -15.77%E -7.01%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.11%EV -14.84%E -7.07%K -13.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.46%EV -17.46%E -4.66%K -6.35%G +0.000%18.7%2026-11-02 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.81%EV -17.64%E -8.02%K -14.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.58%EV -16.87%E -8.23%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 21.61%EV -15.26%E -3.96%K -5.36%G +0.000%20.2%2026-11-02 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-11-02 12:50
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%6.8%2026-11-02 12:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%7.0%2026-11-02 12:45
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%7.9%2026-11-02 06:40
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%7.9%2026-11-02 06:39
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%8.5%2026-11-02 06:39
Smarkets◎1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%10.3%2026-11-02 12:10