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Rochester Americans v Charlotte Checkers

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rochester Americans (Local)

Prediction 36.80%2.72fair odd
EV -6.17%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.90%36.62%36.80%38.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.402.5544.44%41.54%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Checkers (Visit)

Prediction 40.47%2.47fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.471%
Kelly +0.785%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%40.97%40.47%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.322.332.5048.78%43.02%42.92%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.73%4.40fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.37%22.41%22.73%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.683.913.854.2027.17%25.57%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rochester Americans (Local): 36.80%; Charlotte Checkers (Visit): 40.47%; Draw: 22.73%. For Charlotte Checkers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.18%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV +1.18%E +0.471%K +0.785%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV +1.18%E +0.471%K +0.785%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV +1.18%E +0.471%K +0.785%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV +1.18%E +0.471%K +0.785%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV +1.18%E +0.471%K +0.785%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.16%EV +1.18%E +0.471%K +0.785%G +0.009%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -12.47%E -3.24%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.63%EV -14.27%E -6.12%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.04%EV -1.66%E -0.682%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -15.88%E -4.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 00:04
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.17%EV -6.54%E -2.57%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.35%EV -5.30%E -2.26%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 00:04
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.12%EV -12.06%E -5.05%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.10%EV -5.70%E -2.45%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-01 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.17%E -2.42%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.60%EV -6.92%E -3.01%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Betway🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.85%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.31%EV -8.94%E -3.97%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -9.06%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-01 03:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 36.94%EV -10.22%E -4.19%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 40.24%EV -9.35%E -4.17%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.82%EV -10.20%E -2.58%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.69%E -4.87%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%EV -10.96%E -4.98%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -6.79%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.77%EV -13.53%E -5.76%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -12.99%E -6.04%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -14.75%E -3.93%K -5.36%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-01 22:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 36.77%EV -14.63%E -6.31%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 40.05%EV -13.80%E -6.48%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.18%EV -16.34%E -4.44%K -6.10%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-01 22:37
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.01%E -3.20%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.74%EV -15.01%E -7.15%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -4.52%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 21:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 36.96%EV -17.21%E -7.65%K -13.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.57%EV -17.03%E -8.31%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.48%EV -15.88%E -4.29%K -5.88%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%3.1%2026-04-01 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%4.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%5.4%2026-04-01 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%7.9%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%8.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 48.24%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.76%8.5%2026-04-01 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.23%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%9.1%2026-04-01 19:29