The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Providence Bruins v W-B/Scranton Penguins

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 19:07 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Bruins (Local)

Prediction 34.55%2.89fair odd
EV -0.510%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.271%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.48%34.25%34.47%36.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.632.8840.82%38.09%38.02%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 42.38%2.36fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.79%42.75%42.42%44.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.172.3150.00%46.02%46.19%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.24%22.99%23.12%23.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.923.904.1527.78%25.49%25.64%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Bruins (Local): 34.55%; W-B/Scranton Penguins (Visit): 42.38%; Draw: 23.08%. For Providence Bruins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -0.510%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -0.510%E -0.177%K -0.271%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.98%EV -11.85%E -5.70%K -10.98%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.54%EV -4.23%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 19:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -15.24%E -7.62%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-11 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -6.73%E -2.49%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.51%EV -7.62%E -3.49%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-11 19:05
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.46%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-11 19:04
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.15%E -3.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -3.38%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 19:04
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.15%E -3.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -3.38%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 19:04
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.15%E -3.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -3.38%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 19:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.15%E -3.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -3.38%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.15%E -3.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -3.38%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -9.15%E -3.48%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -3.38%E -1.48%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 19:05
GTbets🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.83%EV -2.11%E -0.912%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.17%EV -6.08%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 08:01
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.77%EV -10.18%E -3.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.89%E -4.13%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -10.00%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-11 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -10.18%E -3.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -11.01%E -5.24%K -10.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -7.69%E -1.92%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 34.97%EV -12.60%E -4.98%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.74%EV -10.16%E -4.79%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.31%E -3.24%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 19:02
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.95%EV -15.36%E -6.27%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.81%EV -15.24%E -7.62%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.24%EV -11.15%E -2.90%K -3.91%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-11 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.42%EV -15.36%E -6.27%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.16%EV -15.24%E -7.62%K -15.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.42%EV -16.92%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%18.6%2026-10-11 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%3.2%2026-10-11 19:00
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-10-11 19:05
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%5.1%2026-10-11 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%7.3%2026-10-11 19:04
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%7.8%2026-10-11 19:04
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%7.8%2026-10-11 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%8.4%2026-10-11 19:04
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 45.55%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.45%8.7%2026-10-11 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%9.4%2026-10-11 19:04