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Providence Bruins v Springfield Thunderbirds

2026-11-14 00:05 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Bruins (Local)

Prediction 44.15%2.27fair odd
EV +0.210%
Edge +0.092%
Kelly +0.165%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.55%44.25%44.15%44.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.072.062.2752.63%48.38%48.54%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit)

Prediction 34.08%2.93fair odd
EV -6.28%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.43%34.03%34.08%36.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.652.7541.67%37.84%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.78%4.59fair odd
EV -6.36%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.05%21.72%21.78%22.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.094.104.3026.32%24.43%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Providence Bruins (Local): 44.15%; Springfield Thunderbirds (Visit): 34.08%; Draw: 21.78%. For Providence Bruins (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.265. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.270, producing a positive expected value of +0.210%.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.55%EV +0.210%E +0.092%K +0.165%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.42%EV -11.74%E -4.53%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.04%EV -6.80%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 12:20
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -5.53%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -5.53%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -5.53%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 12:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.48%EV -5.53%E -2.58%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-12 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -8.18%E -3.93%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.09%EV -7.99%E -2.96%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -7.45%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-12 18:20
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.41%EV -8.62%E -4.16%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -6.28%E -2.28%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.15%EV -9.63%E -2.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-12 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.15%EV -9.50%E -4.64%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -11.39%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -6.36%E -1.48%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-12 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.98%EV -9.50%E -4.64%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.02%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.72%E -2.61%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-12 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 43.95%EV -10.39%E -5.12%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 34.18%EV -11.05%E -4.24%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 21.87%EV -11.15%E -2.73%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-12 18:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.71%E -5.85%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.83%EV -9.69%E -3.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.54%E -2.03%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-12 14:34
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.69%EV -11.71%E -5.85%K -11.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.61%EV -11.39%E -4.38%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.70%EV -16.16%E -4.20%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-12 12:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 43.56%EV -14.80%E -7.67%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.32%EV -16.51%E -6.74%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.12%EV -17.25%E -4.54%K -6.16%G +0.000%18.9%2026-11-12 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 43.88%EV -16.12%E -8.49%K -17.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.74%EV -18.21%E -7.59%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.38%EV -15.07%E -3.87%K -5.20%G +0.000%19.9%2026-11-12 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-11-12 18:34
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%6.1%2026-11-12 18:20
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-11-12 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-11-12 18:35
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%7.8%2026-11-12 12:20
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%7.8%2026-11-12 12:18
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%8.1%2026-11-12 12:20
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-11-12 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-11-12 16:30
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.81%10.5%2026-11-12 18:20
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%13.1%2026-11-12 18:30

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