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Providence Bruins v Hartford Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Bruins (Local)

Prediction 53.65%1.86fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -2.53%
Kelly -5.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.08%53.92%53.65%55.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.761.7861.73%58.00%56.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.28%25.49%26.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.553.7630.77%28.46%28.17%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.85%4.80fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.39%20.79%20.85%22.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.984.234.204.5025.13%23.62%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Bruins (Local): 53.65%; Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit): 25.49%; Draw: 20.85%. For Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.76, with an expected value of -4.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.

11 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.41%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 01:15
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.41%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.41%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 01:15
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.41%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.41%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.94%EV -4.50%E -2.53%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -12.41%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 01:15
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.61%EV -5.57%E -3.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.09%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.30%EV -7.61%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-22 20:00
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.19%EV -5.57%E -3.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 25.95%EV -9.75%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -12.41%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.08%EV -5.57%E -3.17%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -13.32%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -16.58%E -4.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -7.18%E -4.15%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.67%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.15%E -1.37%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-22 17:04
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -8.26%E -4.83%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-22 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -9.33%E -5.52%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -10.77%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -10.32%E -2.40%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-22 17:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.51%EV -9.86%E -5.87%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.43%EV -8.24%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-22 17:04
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 52.63%EV -11.47%E -6.95%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.92%EV -14.60%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.44%EV -15.54%E -3.84%K -5.09%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-22 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.77%EV -12.01%E -7.32%K -18.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.63%EV -17.15%E -5.28%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -12.41%E -2.95%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.6%2026-02-22 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.45%EV -12.55%E -7.70%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.07%EV -16.38%E -4.99%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 21.48%EV -17.00%E -4.27%K -5.70%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-22 19:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -13.08%E -8.08%K -21.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -5.67%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.39%EV -8.24%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (11)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%3.1%2026-02-22 19:50
Bet Right🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%5.3%2026-02-22 19:50
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-02-22 17:05
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%6.0%2026-02-22 19:54
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-02-22 11:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-02-22 14:00
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%8.2%2026-02-22 20:00
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%8.2%2026-02-22 20:00
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 64.18%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.82%8.2%2026-02-22 17:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%8.9%2026-02-22 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-02-22 20:00