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Providence Bruins v Hartford Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Bruins (Local)

Prediction 54.35%1.84fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.47%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.23%55.55%54.35%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.651.661.7666.67%60.69%60.24%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 25.46%3.93fair odd
EV +4.41%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.063%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.39%24.78%25.46%26.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.794.004.1030.77%26.36%25.00%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.19%4.95fair odd
EV +0.933%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.233%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.91%19.68%20.19%21.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.364.255.0024.39%22.95%23.53%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Bruins (Local): 54.35%; Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit): 25.46%; Draw: 20.19%. For Hartford Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.93. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.41%.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -9.78%E -5.89%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.41%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.063%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -15.22%E -3.62%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -9.78%E -5.89%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.41%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.063%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -15.22%E -3.62%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 21:50
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -9.78%E -5.89%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.41%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.063%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -15.22%E -3.62%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 21:00
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -9.78%E -5.89%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.41%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.063%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -15.22%E -3.62%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -9.78%E -5.89%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.41%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.063%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -15.22%E -3.62%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.55%EV -9.78%E -5.89%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV +4.41%E +1.07%K +1.42%G +0.063%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -15.22%E -3.62%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 22:05
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.33%EV -11.41%E -7.00%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.56%EV +3.64%E +0.895%K +1.19%G +0.043%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.11%EV -12.19%E -2.80%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -11.96%E -7.38%K -19.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV +1.86%E +0.465%K +0.620%G +0.012%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -17.24%E -4.20%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 22:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -18.48%E -12.32%K -36.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV +1.86%E +0.465%K +0.620%G +0.012%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV +0.933%E +0.187%K +0.233%G +0.002%11.7%2026-03-14 20:00
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.25%EV -4.35%E -2.47%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -3.23%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.62%EV -6.54%E -1.41%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.06%E -4.13%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.14%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 19:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -9.24%E -5.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -9.16%E -2.04%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 19:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.86%EV -9.24%E -5.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -11.18%E -2.54%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.29%EV -9.78%E -5.89%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -12.15%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.59%EV -7.14%E -1.55%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-14 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.63%EV -11.96%E -7.38%K -19.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.93%EV -14.69%E -4.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.44%EV -14.21%E -3.34%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 22:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.23%EV -12.50%E -7.76%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.13%EV -16.48%E -5.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.65%EV -16.23%E -3.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-14 22:43
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.64%EV -13.04%E -8.15%K -21.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.41%EV -17.24%E -5.30%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.96%EV -13.20%E -3.07%K -4.00%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%3.9%2026-03-14 22:35
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%5.3%2026-03-14 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%6.0%2026-03-14 19:50
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-14 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-03-14 23:00
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 64.69%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.31%8.1%2026-03-14 19:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%8.6%2026-03-14 21:00
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%8.6%2026-03-14 21:00
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%8.6%2026-03-14 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%8.9%2026-03-14 23:00