The School of Odds
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Providence Bruins v Charlotte Checkers

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Bruins (Local)

Prediction 41.31%2.42fair odd
EV -5.40%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.68%41.00%41.31%42.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.182.2948.78%45.83%45.87%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte Checkers (Visit)

Prediction 35.91%2.78fair odd
EV -6.64%
Edge -2.55%
Kelly -4.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.76%36.28%35.89%37.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.502.532.6042.55%40.02%39.53%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.78%4.39fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -0.980%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.66%22.72%22.80%23.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.064.094.2527.40%24.62%24.45%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Bruins (Local): 41.31%; Charlotte Checkers (Visit): 35.91%; Draw: 22.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -3.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.43%EV -5.40%E -2.36%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.88%EV -9.87%E -3.93%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.69%EV -7.06%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.31%EV -6.64%E -2.94%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.44%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.24%EV -10.70%E -2.73%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.85%EV -6.64%E -2.55%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -7.05%E -3.13%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -15.61%E -6.64%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-10 21:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.12%E -4.14%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.80%EV -8.88%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -9.94%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -9.94%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -9.94%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -9.94%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -9.94%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -9.94%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.43%E -3.31%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -3.18%E -0.749%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Codere (IT)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.26%EV -9.94%E -4.56%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.98%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.77%EV -10.02%E -2.54%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.94%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.07%EV -10.23%E -4.09%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -6.60%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.17%EV -11.18%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 35.84%EV -11.30%E -4.58%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.99%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.58%EV -15.31%E -7.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.27%EV -15.61%E -6.64%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.14%EV -12.30%E -3.19%K -4.31%G +0.000%17.3%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.08%EV -15.31%E -7.47%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.84%EV -15.61%E -6.64%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.08%EV -16.85%E -4.62%K -6.36%G +0.000%18.7%2026-10-10 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%5.1%2026-10-10 22:50
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-10-10 22:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%7.0%2026-10-10 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%7.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%8.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%8.2%2026-10-10 23:01
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%8.2%2026-10-10 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00