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Providence Bruins v Bridgeport Islanders

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Providence Bruins (Local)

Prediction 52.31%1.91fair odd
EV -6.89%
Edge -3.87%
Kelly -8.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.30%52.31%52.31%52.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.751.7861.73%57.70%57.31%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bridgeport Islanders (Visit)

Prediction 25.16%3.98fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%25.16%25.16%26.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.563.583.7531.25%28.07%27.93%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.54%4.44fair odd
EV -0.616%
Edge -0.140%
Kelly -0.181%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.98%22.54%22.54%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.104.4127.03%24.79%24.39%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Bruins (Local): 52.31%; Bridgeport Islanders (Visit): 25.16%; Draw: 22.54%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.41, with an expected value of -0.616%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -6.89%E -3.87%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.66%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.35%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 23:05
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 23:14
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 23:14
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 23:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 23:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.35%EV -7.42%E -4.19%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-26 23:15
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.46%E -4.84%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.14%EV -10.94%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 20.98%EV -0.616%E -0.140%K -0.181%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-27 11:24
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.81%EV -8.99%E -5.16%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 25.81%EV -10.44%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -3.10%E -0.720%K -0.938%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.94%EV -9.51%E -5.50%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.69%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.75%EV -10.98%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 23:14
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.42%EV -10.03%E -5.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.43%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.86%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-26 23:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -10.03%E -5.83%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.95%E -3.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -7.60%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-26 23:23
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 51.44%EV -11.60%E -6.86%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.57%EV -14.47%E -4.25%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.00%EV -14.81%E -3.92%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-28 02:51
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.30%EV -12.12%E -7.22%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -15.72%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.49%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.30%EV -12.12%E -7.22%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%EV -15.72%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -15.49%E -4.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-27 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 51.44%EV -15.26%E -9.42%K -24.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -19.50%E -6.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.52%EV -16.62%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-26 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%5.1%2026-03-27 10:50
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%5.8%2026-03-26 23:14
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-03-26 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-03-27 23:10
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%8.0%2026-03-26 23:15
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%8.0%2026-03-26 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%8.4%2026-03-26 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%8.9%2026-03-27 23:10
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 63.43%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.57%10.3%2026-03-26 23:15
Kalshi◎1.16I 86.21%NM 50.85%1.20I 83.33%NM 49.15%69.5%2026-03-28 03:10