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Ontario Reign v Henderson Silver Knights

2026-10-18 01:00 UTC — AHL

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ontario Reign (Local)

Prediction 38.21%2.62fair odd
EV -7.14%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -5.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.51%38.55%38.21%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.362.422.4346.51%42.37%41.41%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henderson Silver Knights (Visit)

Prediction 39.38%2.54fair odd
EV -7.45%
Edge -3.17%
Kelly -5.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.99%39.05%39.38%40.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.342.3547.62%43.63%42.74%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.41%4.46fair odd
EV -5.89%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.49%22.40%22.41%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.994.004.2027.03%25.09%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ontario Reign (Local): 38.21%; Henderson Silver Knights (Visit): 39.38%; Draw: 22.41%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -5.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

8 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.86%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.86%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 21:54
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.86%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 21:55
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.86%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.86%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.86%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 21:55
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.51%EV -7.14%E -2.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.98%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.51%EV -9.26%E -2.29%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-16 22:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.23%EV -8.29%E -3.45%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.38%EV -8.24%E -3.54%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.13%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 21:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 38.09%EV -9.82%E -4.16%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.43%EV -10.21%E -4.48%K -7.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-16 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.40%EV -10.20%E -4.34%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.11%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.49%EV -5.89%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-16 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.19%EV -11.35%E -4.89%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.38%EV -11.39%E -5.06%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.43%EV -11.50%E -2.91%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-16 21:53
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -14.02%E -6.23%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -7.45%E -3.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.38%E -2.59%K -3.46%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-16 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.20%EV -15.93%E -7.24%K -13.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.09%EV -15.33%E -7.13%K -13.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.71%EV -17.10%E -4.62%K -6.33%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-16 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.62%EV -17.84%E -8.30%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.54%EV -17.30%E -8.24%K -15.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 21.85%EV -14.86%E -3.91%K -5.31%G +0.000%20.4%2026-10-16 21:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (8)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Bet Right🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%5.3%2026-10-16 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-10-16 21:54
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%7.2%2026-10-16 21:54
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%7.2%2026-10-16 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.67%7.3%2026-10-16 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-10-16 21:55
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.70%10.2%2026-10-16 23:30
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%10.2%2026-10-16 21:55