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Ontario Reign v Henderson Silver Knights

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 03:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ontario Reign (Local)

Prediction 43.39%2.30fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.63%43.39%45.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.102.122.2150.76%47.55%47.17%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Henderson Silver Knights (Visit)

Prediction 35.24%2.84fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.37%34.90%35.24%36.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.612.652.7542.02%38.26%37.74%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.38%4.68fair odd
EV -5.94%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.30%21.47%21.38%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.184.254.4026.32%23.93%23.53%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ontario Reign (Local): 43.39%; Henderson Silver Knights (Visit): 35.24%; Draw: 21.38%. For Henderson Silver Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -3.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.31%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.24%EV -9.09%E -3.52%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.45%EV -6.80%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 02:59
GTbets🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.11%EV -4.98%E -2.27%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.84%EV -4.51%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.06%EV -8.51%E -1.99%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 02:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.85%EV -5.42%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 02:59
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.15%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 03:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.15%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 03:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.15%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 03:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.15%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 03:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.15%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 03:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.50%EV -8.02%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.80%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -9.15%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 02:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 42.62%EV -8.45%E -4.01%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.97%EV -11.91%E -4.76%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -10.22%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 03:00
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -3.10%E -1.13%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 02:59
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.87%EV -8.89%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.62%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 02:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.06%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -6.63%E -2.50%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 02:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.32%EV -12.36%E -6.12%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.92%EV -16.14%E -6.78%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 21.75%EV -15.99%E -4.07%K -5.46%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-07 02:47
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.28%EV -13.23%E -6.61%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.94%EV -10.15%E -3.98%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.78%EV -18.77%E -4.94%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-07 02:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.34%EV -14.53%E -7.37%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.36%EV -8.39%E -3.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 02:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%3.9%2026-03-07 03:00
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-03-07 02:59
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-03-07 02:59
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-03-07 03:00
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-03-07 02:59
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%7.6%2026-03-07 03:00
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%8.1%2026-03-07 03:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%8.1%2026-03-07 02:59
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%8.3%2026-03-07 02:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%9.4%2026-03-07 02:59