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Ontario Reign v Abbotsford Canucks

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ontario Reign (Local)

Prediction 51.85%1.93fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -6.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.45%52.37%51.85%54.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.771.781.8360.61%56.48%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Abbotsford Canucks (Visit)

Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.50%26.80%27.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.393.453.5931.75%29.47%28.99%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.35%4.68fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.583%
Kelly -0.747%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.31%21.13%21.35%22.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.184.104.5625.64%23.90%24.39%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ontario Reign (Local): 51.85%; Abbotsford Canucks (Visit): 26.80%; Draw: 21.35%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.56, with an expected value of -2.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 07:40
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 07:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 07:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 07:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.59%EV -5.11%E -2.79%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.58%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 07:39
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.10%EV -6.15%E -3.40%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.27%EV -3.79%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.63%EV -6.93%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 02:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.66%E -3.70%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 18:35
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.45%EV -7.70%E -4.33%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -15.68%E -3.97%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 07:40
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.50%EV -2.66%E -0.583%K -0.747%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 01:55
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.62%EV -8.22%E -4.64%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -9.28%E -2.18%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-18 18:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.01%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-18 18:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -9.78%E -5.62%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -10.34%E -2.46%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-18 18:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.12%EV -11.85%E -6.97%K -16.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.16%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -14.61%E -3.65%K -4.87%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-19 01:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.46%EV -12.89%E -7.67%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.45%EV -15.58%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.09%EV -12.48%E -3.04%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-18 18:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 50.91%EV -12.89%E -7.67%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.58%E -4.95%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.93%EV -16.75%E -4.29%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-19 01:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.16%EV -14.44%E -8.75%K -22.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -6.07%E -1.38%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-18 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%5.1%2026-03-18 18:35
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%5.3%2026-03-19 01:35
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%6.7%2026-03-17 02:04
Smarkets◎1.47I 68.03%NM 63.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.66%7.4%2026-03-18 18:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%7.6%2026-03-19 01:35
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-03-17 07:40
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-03-17 07:39
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%8.0%2026-03-17 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%9.0%2026-03-18 18:15
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 40.42%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%9.0%2026-03-19 01:55